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What percentage of people have had corona virus so far

Sun Apr 05, 2020 3:53 pm

I wonder so many people telling me they think they’ve had it, what do you think 10%?

Re: What percentage of people have had corona virus so far

Sun Apr 05, 2020 4:06 pm

Hard to tell the correct fig mate - As some have stayed home - not tested and are ok now .

As for correct figs - these would be hospital only reported cases - which before you ask ... i do not know that number.

Re: What percentage of people have had corona virus so far

Sun Apr 05, 2020 4:09 pm

Bluebina wrote:I wonder so many people telling me they think they’ve had it, what do you think 10%?

I’d hazard a guess around 10-20%

Re: What percentage of people have had corona virus so far

Sun Apr 05, 2020 4:09 pm

It must be a lot higher than being reported although strangely I only know one person you has defiantly had it.

Re: What percentage of people have had corona virus so far

Sun Apr 05, 2020 4:12 pm

Million dollar question right there.

Oxford university study suggests it could be as high as 50 percent. I don't think it's that high but certainly higher than the reported cases.

Re: What percentage of people have had corona virus so far

Sun Apr 05, 2020 4:23 pm

jimmy_rat wrote:Million dollar question right there.

Oxford university study suggests it could be as high as 50 percent. I don't think it's that high but certainly higher than the reported cases.



We've tested 200k in hospital, the majority were there because they thought there was a possibility at least that they had the disease. Only 25% proved positive and I find hard to believe that the population as a whole would be higher than that. Obviously the higher that figure then the closer we are to an end to this, so having an idea is key.

Re: What percentage of people have had corona virus so far

Sun Apr 05, 2020 4:35 pm

epping blue wrote:
jimmy_rat wrote:Million dollar question right there.

Oxford university study suggests it could be as high as 50 percent. I don't think it's that high but certainly higher than the reported cases.



We've tested 200k in hospital, the majority were there because they thought there was a possibility at least that they had the disease. Only 25% proved positive and I find hard to believe that the population as a whole would be higher than that. Obviously the higher that figure then the closer we are to an end to this, so having an idea is key.


I agree. Except we also have to take in to account the asymptomatic people, which they think is as high as 86%!! And that figure is actually quite reliable in studies so far. I mean, if I had a little bit of a cough or temp only, I'm not going to hospital to get tested.

I think it'll be between 10-25 percent realistically.

Re: What percentage of people have had corona virus so far

Sun Apr 05, 2020 4:48 pm

Must be impossible to even guess.

I'm sure that lots of people think they have it because they are showing "symptoms" but remember not everybody with a cough has got coronavirus.

Not everybody with a high temperature has it.

At times it seems like there are currently no other illnesses other than the coronavirus - if you have a slight cough or are feeling under the weather then you must have it despite the fact that it can be any number of other illnesses such as a normal cold.

However until every single person in the country is tested we'll never know.

Testing at the moment is only being done on people in hospitals. For an accurate figure I guess you would have to test everybody and that is unlikely to ever be possible so it's basically all just guesswork and like all forms of statistics they can be managed and manipulated to give whatever outcome benefits a particular agenda.

Re: What percentage of people have had corona virus so far

Sun Apr 05, 2020 4:56 pm

davids wrote:Must be impossible to even guess.

I'm sure that lots of people think they have it because they are showing "symptoms" but remember not everybody with a cough has got coronavirus.

Not everybody with a high temperature has it.

At times it seems like there are currently no other illnesses other than the coronavirus - if you have a slight cough or are feeling under the weather then you must have it despite the fact that it can be any number of other illnesses such as a normal cold.

However until every single person in the country is tested we'll never know.

Testing at the moment is only being done on people in hospitals. For an accurate figure I guess you would have to test everybody and that is unlikely to ever be possible so it's basically all just guesswork and like all forms of statistics they can be managed and manipulated to give whatever outcome benefits a particular agenda.



you are right about corona virus seemingly being the only illness but its ALL the time at the moment. not just at times.
respiratory diseases of which corona virus is only one kills every day.....

Re: What percentage of people have had corona virus so far

Mon Apr 06, 2020 9:12 am

jimmy_rat wrote:
epping blue wrote:
jimmy_rat wrote:Million dollar question right there.

Oxford university study suggests it could be as high as 50 percent. I don't think it's that high but certainly higher than the reported cases.



We've tested 200k in hospital, the majority were there because they thought there was a possibility at least that they had the disease. Only 25% proved positive and I find hard to believe that the population as a whole would be higher than that. Obviously the higher that figure then the closer we are to an end to this, so having an idea is key.


I agree. Except we also have to take in to account the asymptomatic people, which they think is as high as 86%!! And that figure is actually quite reliable in studies so far. I mean, if I had a little bit of a cough or temp only, I'm not going to hospital to get tested.

I think it'll be between 10-25 percent realistically.


I think it's in excess of 10% now, that's still a small number and a lot way to go to beat this!

Re: What percentage of people have had corona virus so far

Mon Apr 06, 2020 9:12 am

jimmy_rat wrote:
epping blue wrote:
jimmy_rat wrote:Million dollar question right there.

Oxford university study suggests it could be as high as 50 percent. I don't think it's that high but certainly higher than the reported cases.



We've tested 200k in hospital, the majority were there because they thought there was a possibility at least that they had the disease. Only 25% proved positive and I find hard to believe that the population as a whole would be higher than that. Obviously the higher that figure then the closer we are to an end to this, so having an idea is key.


I agree. Except we also have to take in to account the asymptomatic people, which they think is as high as 86%!! And that figure is actually quite reliable in studies so far. I mean, if I had a little bit of a cough or temp only, I'm not going to hospital to get tested.

I think it'll be between 10-25 percent realistically.


I think it's in excess of 10% now, that's still a small number and a lot way to go to beat this!

Re: What percentage of people have had corona virus so far

Mon Apr 06, 2020 10:35 pm

STAY HOME > PROTECT THE NHS > SAVE LIVES .

Re: What percentage of people have had corona virus so far

Tue Apr 07, 2020 10:05 am

Around 6.8% in Cardiff and the vale , but that is only of persons who have been tested.
Will greatly go higher than 10% IMO.
Listening to a doctor on radio 5 last night was extremely disturbing.
Once you start to go downhill it may only be 4 or 5 hours before you pass away.
If you go on a ventilator your chances are only 14%.
Each night he says goodbye to his family as it may be the last time he sees them.
And still people go out.

Re: What percentage of people have had corona virus so far

Tue Apr 07, 2020 2:49 pm

fred keenor wrote:Around 6.8% in Cardiff and the vale , but that is only of persons who have been tested.
Will greatly go higher than 10% IMO.
Listening to a doctor on radio 5 last night was extremely disturbing.
Once you start to go downhill it may only be 4 or 5 hours before you pass away.
If you go on a ventilator your chances are only 14%.
Each night he says goodbye to his family as it may be the last time he sees them.
And still people go out.


I've read 50% chance of getting out of intensive care, and 33% chance of getting out if you've been placed on a ventilator, which is still disturbing, luckily most people that get it don't need either.

Re: What percentage of people have had corona virus so far

Fri Apr 10, 2020 10:08 am

How many Brits have had the virus?

Prof Sir John Bell of Oxford University, a government adviser on life sciences, tells the BBC's Today programme he "wouldn't be surprised" if it were less than 10% of the UK population.

However, he says the data is "shaky" because researchers are only just starting to carry out complicated studies needed to work it out - so he wouldn't "hang his hat" on it

Scientists are trying to work out which drugs currently used for other medical purposes could be valuable in the fight against Covid-19, he adds

"The idea is not to do large, long controlled trials that might take years. The idea is to have a quick look, with a small number of patients, enough to see a very significant effect... and then move them into definitive trials," he says

He adds that centres for swab-based testing have been set up by volunteers across the country, which could see testing capacity eventually increase to 200,000 a day - double the government's current target for the end of the month