Taiwan and COVID-19

The death rate is slowly creeping up on the worldwide figures as the virus reaches new areas. This will impact upon countries like Spain as they get to the point where they come out of lock down. IMHO they will still need to either ban people from countries which still have the virus or quarantine them like Taiwan.
The number of cases worldwide is 1,292,461 and the number of deaths is 70,797, giving a death rate of 5.47%.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

The worldwide death rate is still increasing, which shows that it is still spreading to new areas. The rate is now 5.74%, with 1,414,736 cases and 81,249 deaths worldwide.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

The worldwide death rate is still increasing, which shows that it is still spreading to new areas. The rate is now 5.74%, with 1,414,736 cases and 81,249 deaths worldwide.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

its worldwide so these current figures are probably going to look very small in a few weeks time …

The worldwide death rate is still increasing, which shows that it is still spreading to new areas. The rate is now 5.74%, with 1,414,736 cases and 81,249 deaths worldwide.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

its worldwide so these current figures are probably going to look very small in a few weeks time …

Agreed, but for now it can be used as an indicator of when the virus has peaked worldwide, as it will then start to decline day after day.

popeye21 » Wed Apr 08, 2020 11:26 pm

The PRC bought up most of the masks and protective clothing available around the world, despite the fact that they make over half the worlds supply of masks, while telling the WHO that there was no virus spreading human to human.

Steve Bannon: Blood is on the hands of the Chinese Communist Party
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jjlj7KkzyqU

viewtopic.php?f=2&t=214058

The video above references the early warning that Taiwan gave to the WHO, mentioned in earlier posts of this thread.

The number of cases worldwide has now reached 1,513,243, with 88,403 deaths. The death rate has increased to 5.84%. However, the number of active cases classed as serious or critical has dropped from 5% to 4%, with 48,078 cases.

European mortality bulletin week 14, 2020
The latest pooled estimates from the EuroMOMO network show a steep increase in excess all-cause mortality overall for the participating European countries, related to the COVID-19 pandemic.

This overall excess mortality is driven by a very substantial excess mortality in some countries, primarily seen in the age group of 65 years and above, but also in the age group of 15-64 years.

Data from 24 participating countries or regions were included in this week’s pooled analysis of all-cause mortality in Europe.

The number of deaths in the recent weeks should be interpreted with caution as adjustments for delayed registrations may be imprecise. Furthermore, results of pooled analyses may vary depending on countries included in the weekly analyses. Pooled analyses are adjusted for variation between the included countries and for differences in the local delay in reporting.

https://www.euromomo.eu/index.html

The death rate has now climbed to over SIX. Worldwide cases 1,697,356 and 102,667 deaths = death rate of 6.05%.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

The number of worldwide cases is now 1,776,935 and the number of deaths 108,737, giving a death rate of 6.12%.

Worldwide number of cases 1,851,011 and 114,098 deaths gives a death rate of 6.16%.

European mortality bulletin week 15, 2020

Pooled mortality estimates from the EuroMOMO network continue to show a marked increase in excess all-cause mortality overall for the participating European countries, coinciding with the current COVID-19 global pandemic. This overall excess mortality is, however, driven by a very substantial excess mortality in some countries, primarily seen in the age group of 65 years and above, but also in the age group of 15-64 years.
Data from 24 participating countries or regions were included in this week’s pooled analysis of all-cause mortality.
Extra delay in death registration this week: Because of the recent Easter period, there may have been extra delay in death registrations, hence making the interpretation of this week’s mortality estimates a bit more uncertain than usual. Therefore, the map shown below includes deaths until week 14 only. The map for week 15, 2020, is shown on the dedicated map page of the website.

As always, the number of deaths in the recent weeks should be interpreted with caution as adjustments for delayed registrations may be imprecise. Furthermore, results of pooled analyses may vary depending on countries included in the weekly analyses. Pooled analyses are adjusted for variation between the included countries and for differences in the local delay in reporting.
https://www.euromomo.eu/index.html

The graph showing the 'Pooled number of deaths' with 'All ages' shows the spike from COVID-19 is high for the last two weeks. The area under the spikes (outside of the normal range) each winter will give the number of deaths (above the normal range) and the height will give the highest number for a given week. Therefore, while the spike with COVID-19 is as high as the 2016/17 winter, the number of deaths above the normal range is only the third worst of the last four years (with the data to date 2017/18 is the worst, then 2016/17 and then this current winter). Remember from earlier posts in this thread that the figures who have died from COVID-19, will include some people who would have died from underlying causes anyway during this period. However, there will also be reduced deaths in the figures used from the lock down, as deaths from RTA's; accidental deaths in the workplace; murders etc will all be reduced.

Taiwan has quarantined some 700 navy officers, servicemen and cadets for testing after 24 members of their mission tested positive for Covid-19.

Taiwan’s Health Minister, Chen Shih-chung, said 22 new daily cases had been confirmed, including 21 in the military.

The cases were found on one of three ships in a fleet that visited the small Pacific island of Palau last month, according to officials.

The mission returned on Wednesday to a ceremony where President Tsai Ing-wen was present but, according to her office, she only waved at the sailors from the shore.

The latest confirmed cases bring the total on the island to 420, with six deaths.

Belgium's number of deaths per million is now over 500, with a figure of 503.
Worldwide cases yesterday 2,406,575 and 165,031 deaths giving a death rate of 6.86%. However, the number of active cases classed as serious or critical dropped to 3%.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

The number of cases worldwide is 2,629,951 with 183,723 deaths, giving a death rate of 6.99%.
Belgium now has 540 deaths/m population, Spain 464, Italy 415 and the UK 267.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

EuroMOMO Bulletin, Week 16, 2020
Pooled mortality estimates from the EuroMOMO network continue to show a marked increase in excess all-cause mortality overall for the participating European countries, coinciding with the current COVID-19 pandemic. This overall excess mortality is, however, driven by a very substantial excess mortality in some countries, primarily seen in the age group of 65 years and above, but also in the age group of 15-64 years.

https://www.euromomo.eu/bulletins/2020-16/

The graph in the week 16 bulletin still shows that 2017-18, 2016-17, 2019-20 are the three winters with the most deaths above the normal range in that order, out of the last four winters. Therefore, more died in 2017-18 and 2016-17 winters than the current winter which has the Coronavirus.

Yesterday the number of cases worldwide was 2,723,169, with 190,919 deaths, giving a death rate of 7.01%.

Today the number of cases worldwide is 2,812,697 with 196,258 deaths, giving a death rate of 6.98%.

The death rate worldwide, based upon the number of cases has been steadily increasing day by day, but today it has dropped slightly. Hopefully, this is the peak of the virus worldwide and the number of both new cases and deaths will decline. The emphasis can then be on identifying people who have had the virus, but weren't tested through lack of symptoms etc., reducing the death rate further.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

Yesterday the number of cases worldwide was 2,723,169, with 190,919 deaths, giving a death rate of 7.01%.

Today the number of cases worldwide is 2,812,697 with 196,258 deaths, giving a death rate of 6.98%.

The death rate worldwide, based upon the number of cases has been steadily increasing day by day, but today it has dropped slightly. Hopefully, this is the peak of the virus worldwide and the number of both new cases and deaths will decline. The emphasis can then be on identifying people who have had the virus, but weren't tested through lack of symptoms etc., reducing the death rate further.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

the percentage is based on only confirmed cases. there have been tens of thousands who have had a suspected mild case of corvid19 who were told to stay at home and self isolate without being tested...

The number of cases worldwide is now 2,920,738 with 203,255 deaths, giving a death rate of 6.96%.

Yesterday the number of cases worldwide was 2,723,169, with 190,919 deaths, giving a death rate of 7.01%.

Today the number of cases worldwide is 2,812,697 with 196,258 deaths, giving a death rate of 6.98%.

The death rate worldwide, based upon the number of cases has been steadily increasing day by day, but today it has dropped slightly. Hopefully, this is the peak of the virus worldwide and the number of both new cases and deaths will decline. The emphasis can then be on identifying people who have had the virus, but weren't tested through lack of symptoms etc., reducing the death rate further.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

the percentage is based on only confirmed cases. there have been tens of thousands who have had a suspected mild case of corvid19 who were told to stay at home and self isolate without being tested...

Already understood, hence my last sentence 'The emphasis can then be on identifying people who have had the virus, but weren't tested through lack of symptoms etc., reducing the death rate further.'

The number of cases worldwide is 2,992,501, with 206,878 deaths, giving a death rate of 6.91%.

It looks like the death rate worldwide peaked at 7.01% and has dropped gradually since to 6.91%. Hopefully, with continued testing after new cases diminish, and with the emphasis switching to testing for immunity, this will drop nearer to 1%. The truer figure will include those who have had the virus with few if any symptoms. IMHO the current death rate decline shows that lock downs are working and the world is starting to get the spread under control.

EuroMOMO Bulletin, Week 17, 2020

Pooled mortality estimates from the EuroMOMO network continue to show a marked increase in excess all-cause mortality overall for the participating European countries, coinciding with the current COVID-19 pandemic. This overall excess mortality is, however, driven by a very substantial excess mortality in some countries, primarily seen in the age group of 65 years and above, but also in the age group of 15-64 years.

Note on data from Ireland
In Ireland, as a result of very significant delays in death registrations during March and April 2020, due to the COVID-19 pandemic, weekly z-scores of excess all-cause mortality do not reflect current COVID-19 (and non-COVID-19) excess mortality in Ireland. Further data on notified COVID-19 deaths in Ireland are available on the hpsc.ie website.

https://www.euromomo.eu/

As well as the weekly number being higher than the previous three winters, the overall number of deaths above the normal looks like it will be higher than the previous three winters.