' CRUNCH DAY CARDIFF C / BRIGHTON '
Saturday 27th April 2019
We really are at crunch point now for Cardiff City.
Cardiff lose and Brighton win: The gap will be six points with two matches to go and Brighton's goal difference will be at least 15 better than Cardiff's. It would all be over really.
Cardiff win and Brighton lose: The teams will be level on points heading into the final two fixtures. With Cardiff at home to Crystal Palace and away to Man United, and Brighton facing a trip to Arsenal before welcoming Man City on the final day, the Bluebirds would arguably be favourites to stay up despite their inferior goal difference.
In this scenario, even a draw against Crystal Palace and a defeat at Old Trafford might well be enough to survive.
Cardiff win and Brighton draw: This scenario would leave Brighton one point ahead going into the final two games and mean Cardiff will have to win again, or get two draws, to have a chance of staying up.
Cardiff draw and Brighton win: Cardiff wouldn't be finished yet but they would need to win both their final two matches and hope Brighton don't pick up another point.
Cardiff lose and Brighton draw: Cardiff would be four points behind with one game left and would need to win both of their final matches while hoping Brighton don't pick up more than one more point.
Cardiff draw and Brighton lose: The gap would be cut to two points with two games to play. Cardiff could survive with one more win if Brighton lost their final two games.
Both teams win, lose or draw: Cardiff would remain three points behind but, because of that inferior goal difference, they would need at least four points from their final two matches.
Any other teams Cardiff can catch?
There is still a chance that Southampton could be relegated as they are only six points ahead of Cardiff with nine still to play for. If they were to lose all their remaining fixtures, Cardiff could overtake them with two wins and a draw from their final three matches, for example.
Southampton are at home to Bournemouth on Saturday (3pm).
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