Thu Jun 30, 2016 2:39 pm
Thu Jun 30, 2016 3:26 pm
Thu Jun 30, 2016 3:34 pm
Thu Jun 30, 2016 3:45 pm
Thu Jun 30, 2016 3:52 pm
Thu Jun 30, 2016 4:35 pm
Bluebird For Life wrote:Forget the headline, here are the facts... By Dr Charlotte O'Brien, Senior Lecturer in Law, University of York
The Vote Leave campaign has put forward immigration projections based on Turkey, Albania, Montenegro, Macedonia, and Serbia joining the EU in 2020 and Defence minister Penny Mordaunt said that the UK would not be able to prevent Turkey from joining.
On the Remain side, David Cameron has maintained that the UK does have a veto and stated that suggestions otherwise were “very misleading”.
Does the UK have a veto?
Yes. Under the EU’s rules for the accession of new countries, approval of each member country in the Council of the European Union is required.
Would the UK exercise its veto?
This would depend upon the policy of the government in office at the relevant time. At the moment, it is government policy to support Turkey in becoming a member. The Prime Minister has publicly supported Turkish accession and in 2010 was reported to express frustration at the lack of progress in negotiations.
Recent announcements have switched the focus from desirability to the likelihood of accession, with Mr Cameron stating that Turkey might not be able to join ‘until the year 3000’. It would also depend on the government’s satisfaction with the negotiations. The Council would likely push for consensus before facing a vote with possible vetoes.
How close is Turkey to completing negotiations?
In order for any country to be eligible for accession, negotiations on signing up to all the EU’s rules must be completed in 35 ‘chapters’.
Turkey first applied to join what was then the EEC in 1987. It was declared an eligible candidate in 1997. Negotiations were formally opened in 2005.
Now, in 2016, negotiations have closed on just one out of 35 chapters—‘science and research’, which was completed in 2006, the year after it was opened. Of the remaining 34 chapters, 14 have been opened for negotiation.
In 2006, the EU decided that until Turkey agrees to remove obstacles to free movement of goods (including transport restrictions) between it and Cyprus, no more chapters will be provisionally closed. Eight chapters (including areas fundamental to EU law, such as free movement of goods and right of establishment and freedom to provide services) will not even be opened.
The European Commission’s 2015 Turkey report noted that Turkey still refused to allow free movement of goods and travel with Cyprus, and that there was “no progress on normalising bilateral relations with the Republic of Cyprus”.
The 20 not-yet opened chapters include some of the most controversial chapters issues such as free movement for workers, and human rights (including ensuring that judges are independent).
What role do human rights concerns play?
The EU has raised significant human rights concerns in the 2015 Turkish report, noting ‘significant backsliding in the past two years notably in the areas of freedom of expression and freedom of assembly’.
The report also found problems with discrimination and protection of vulnerable minorities. These concerns fall foul of the human rights conditions of accession.
What about the EU-Turkey migration deal?
As part of the deal for tackling the migration crisis, in which Turkey agreed to the resettlement of refugees in its territory, the EU agreed to accelerate accession negotiations.
The Commission says that ‘preparations are now underway to progress towards the opening of five chapters.’ It is not clear when these chapters will be opened, or how long negotiations on them will take.
Political obstacles to Turkish membership
Other EU members have strongly opposed Turkish membership. Both France and Austria will put the question of Turkish accession to a referendum, so Turkey would need to get approval from the popular vote in each country.
This would make vetoes from those countries likely, as they are amongst the more Turkey-sceptic members.
A House of Lords Select Committee report on the European Union in 2006 found that a ‘majority of people in the EU-25 are opposed to Turkey's accession, with opposition in Austria, France and Germany reaching 70 per cent or more.’ Opposition to Turkish membership across the EU rose from 2008-2010, from 55-59%. There don’t seem to be more recent figures available.
Turkey’s own appetite for joining is variable but seems to be declining. Of the five candidate countries it consistently has the lowest numbers in Eurobarometer surveys expressing support for membership.
The latest autumn 2015 survey (only available in French) showed 37% of respondents in Turkey believing membership would be a good thing. This is up from 28% in 2014, but still down compared to 59% ten years ago.
A higher proportion—56%—said that they believed that their country “would benefit” from membership, although that figure was also higher in the past.
Seems a bit unlikely then lads don't you think?
Thu Jun 30, 2016 4:35 pm
Thu Jun 30, 2016 4:46 pm
Owain wrote:They won't be joining any time soon. Of course they are going to go cap in hand to the EU, just as they have been for the past few decades.
I'm guessing that's an Express article. Owned by a massive UKIP supporter and donor.
Thu Jun 30, 2016 5:49 pm
Sneggyblubird wrote:While they treat the Kurds like they do they've got no chance.Anyone that has the first clue what they are talking about will know that.
Thu Jun 30, 2016 5:54 pm
Thu Jun 30, 2016 7:00 pm
Thu Jun 30, 2016 7:44 pm
wez1927 wrote:Owain wrote:They won't be joining any time soon. Of course they are going to go cap in hand to the EU, just as they have been for the past few decades.
I'm guessing that's an Express article. Owned by a massive UKIP supporter and donor.
they will be in the next few years you really need to open your eyes there are official eu documents going around that the eu want turkey in
Fri Jul 01, 2016 7:37 pm
Bluebird since 1948 wrote:Turkey won't be joining the EU for at least a decade, if ever. There's a certain amount of legislation they have to negotiate and they've only done one so far. There's plenty of snags along the way too. Also the political climate in Turkey is very volatile at the best of times including now.
Turkey joining the EU as one of the reasons to leave the EU was one of the more distasteful ploys by the Brexit campaign, I really don't think it would be that bad if they did although right now under their current leadership and goings on in Syria it wouldn't be advisable. Going back over the last few decades before the last few years Turkey has been a peaceful country with a very Western outlook on life, it's only recently that has changed.
Anyways I don't care, if it took scaremongering about Turkey to leave the EU then so be it. We slain the beast that is Brussels and this country will be far better for it.
Sat Jul 02, 2016 11:17 am
Sat Jul 02, 2016 1:58 pm
Jimmy Scoular wrote:Turkey will not recognise it's role in the genocide of over 1 million Armenians. It's failure to do so is one huge obstacle with the Germans insisting without such a mea culpa talks will not even begin.
Here is an actual picture of starving Armenian children being teased by a Turkish man
Sat Jul 02, 2016 3:01 pm
Bluebird For Life wrote:Jimmy Scoular wrote:Turkey will not recognise it's role in the genocide of over 1 million Armenians. It's failure to do so is one huge obstacle with the Germans insisting without such a mea culpa talks will not even begin.
Here is an actual picture of starving Armenian children being teased by a Turkish man
Isn't it time for the op to retract this blatantly scaremongering article and denounce the gutter press journalist that wrote it - after all if it was Tucker posting about the city comments would have been made about shabby journalism...
Sat Jul 02, 2016 4:19 pm
TopCat CCFC wrote:Bluebird since 1948 wrote:Turkey won't be joining the EU for at least a decade, if ever. There's a certain amount of legislation they have to negotiate and they've only done one so far. There's plenty of snags along the way too. Also the political climate in Turkey is very volatile at the best of times including now.
Turkey joining the EU as one of the reasons to leave the EU was one of the more distasteful ploys by the Brexit campaign, I really don't think it would be that bad if they did although right now under their current leadership and goings on in Syria it wouldn't be advisable. Going back over the last few decades before the last few years Turkey has been a peaceful country with a very Western outlook on life, it's only recently that has changed.
Anyways I don't care, if it took scaremongering about Turkey to leave the EU then so be it. We slain the beast that is Brussels and this country will be far better for it.
Spot on - The voice of reason . Cameron said they need to meet at least 20 odd agreements - they may have found 1
Sat Jul 02, 2016 4:36 pm
wez1927 wrote:Owain wrote:They won't be joining any time soon. Of course they are going to go cap in hand to the EU, just as they have been for the past few decades.
I'm guessing that's an Express article. Owned by a massive UKIP supporter and donor.
they will be in the next few years you really need to open your eyes there are official eu documents going around that the eu want turkey in
Sat Jul 02, 2016 4:38 pm
wez1927 wrote:Bluebird For Life wrote:Jimmy Scoular wrote:Turkey will not recognise it's role in the genocide of over 1 million Armenians. It's failure to do so is one huge obstacle with the Germans insisting without such a mea culpa talks will not even begin.
Here is an actual picture of starving Armenian children being teased by a Turkish man
Isn't it time for the op to retract this blatantly scaremongering article and denounce the gutter press journalist that wrote it - after all if it was Tucker posting about the city comments would have been made about shabby journalism...
truth hurts ?
Sun Jul 03, 2016 5:12 am
ccfcsince62 wrote:wez1927 wrote:Bluebird For Life wrote:Jimmy Scoular wrote:Turkey will not recognise it's role in the genocide of over 1 million Armenians. It's failure to do so is one huge obstacle with the Germans insisting without such a mea culpa talks will not even begin.
Here is an actual picture of starving Armenian children being teased by a Turkish man
Isn't it time for the op to retract this blatantly scaremongering article and denounce the gutter press journalist that wrote it - after all if it was Tucker posting about the city comments would have been made about shabby journalism...
truth hurts ?
Maybe the phrase " truth hurts" applies in some cases. However, there appears to be no truth in your claims.