Fri Feb 26, 2016 6:49 am
Fri Feb 26, 2016 8:34 am
Fri Feb 26, 2016 8:55 am
Fri Feb 26, 2016 10:00 am
Fri Feb 26, 2016 10:11 am
Fri Feb 26, 2016 10:25 am
castleblue wrote:With the odd exception clubs who reach the playoffs have won 54 points after 34 games and right now only 8 clubs can reach that total. In the last 13 years there have been odd exceptions to that stat with Palace (50) and Blackpool (47) being the best examples.
In 2008/09 we had 59 points after 34 games but imploded, 1 point from the last 12, and lost out on 6th place to Preston by a single goal, that season Preston were on 53 points after 34 games.
We are in the area of mathematical possibility, even with 13 games remaining, but if Derby beat Wolves tomorrow that will see those on 60 points so the only target left for us will be 6th.
So perm any one from 5 (Sheff Wed, Ipswich, Birmingham, Cardiff & Preston) for that final place. Of those clubs one has appeared in the most end of season playoffs, Preston with 10, let's hope they are not on a run to make this season number 11.
An absolute MUST win game tomorrow or I'm afraid the fat lady will be singing for us this season.
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Fri Feb 26, 2016 10:30 am
Fri Feb 26, 2016 10:35 am
paulh_85 wrote:castleblue wrote:With the odd exception clubs who reach the playoffs have won 54 points after 34 games and right now only 8 clubs can reach that total. In the last 13 years there have been odd exceptions to that stat with Palace (50) and Blackpool (47) being the best examples.
In 2008/09 we had 59 points after 34 games but imploded, 1 point from the last 12, and lost out on 6th place to Preston by a single goal, that season Preston were on 53 points after 34 games.
We are in the area of mathematical possibility, even with 13 games remaining, but if Derby beat Wolves tomorrow that will see those on 60 points so the only target left for us will be 6th.
So perm any one from 5 (Sheff Wed, Ipswich, Birmingham, Cardiff & Preston) for that final place. Of those clubs one has appeared in the most end of season playoffs, Preston with 10, let's hope they are not on a run to make this season number 11.
An absolute MUST win game tomorrow or I'm afraid the fat lady will be singing for us this season.
Probability involves maths![]()
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its not a maths game though is it, so all of the above is irrelevent
Fri Feb 26, 2016 10:37 am
paulh_85 wrote:castleblue wrote:With the odd exception clubs who reach the playoffs have won 54 points after 34 games and right now only 8 clubs can reach that total. In the last 13 years there have been odd exceptions to that stat with Palace (50) and Blackpool (47) being the best examples.
In 2008/09 we had 59 points after 34 games but imploded, 1 point from the last 12, and lost out on 6th place to Preston by a single goal, that season Preston were on 53 points after 34 games.
We are in the area of mathematical possibility, even with 13 games remaining, but if Derby beat Wolves tomorrow that will see those on 60 points so the only target left for us will be 6th.
So perm any one from 5 (Sheff Wed, Ipswich, Birmingham, Cardiff & Preston) for that final place. Of those clubs one has appeared in the most end of season playoffs, Preston with 10, let's hope they are not on a run to make this season number 11.
An absolute MUST win game tomorrow or I'm afraid the fat lady will be singing for us this season.
its not a maths game though is it, so all of the above is irrelevent
Fri Feb 26, 2016 11:01 am
ThomasC wrote:paulh_85 wrote:castleblue wrote:With the odd exception clubs who reach the playoffs have won 54 points after 34 games and right now only 8 clubs can reach that total. In the last 13 years there have been odd exceptions to that stat with Palace (50) and Blackpool (47) being the best examples.
In 2008/09 we had 59 points after 34 games but imploded, 1 point from the last 12, and lost out on 6th place to Preston by a single goal, that season Preston were on 53 points after 34 games.
We are in the area of mathematical possibility, even with 13 games remaining, but if Derby beat Wolves tomorrow that will see those on 60 points so the only target left for us will be 6th.
So perm any one from 5 (Sheff Wed, Ipswich, Birmingham, Cardiff & Preston) for that final place. Of those clubs one has appeared in the most end of season playoffs, Preston with 10, let's hope they are not on a run to make this season number 11.
An absolute MUST win game tomorrow or I'm afraid the fat lady will be singing for us this season.
its not a maths game though is it, so all of the above is irrelevent
Probability involves maths, how do you think successful gamblers become successful![]()
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Fri Feb 26, 2016 11:11 am
paulh_85 wrote:ThomasC wrote:paulh_85 wrote:castleblue wrote:With the odd exception clubs who reach the playoffs have won 54 points after 34 games and right now only 8 clubs can reach that total. In the last 13 years there have been odd exceptions to that stat with Palace (50) and Blackpool (47) being the best examples.
In 2008/09 we had 59 points after 34 games but imploded, 1 point from the last 12, and lost out on 6th place to Preston by a single goal, that season Preston were on 53 points after 34 games.
We are in the area of mathematical possibility, even with 13 games remaining, but if Derby beat Wolves tomorrow that will see those on 60 points so the only target left for us will be 6th.
So perm any one from 5 (Sheff Wed, Ipswich, Birmingham, Cardiff & Preston) for that final place. Of those clubs one has appeared in the most end of season playoffs, Preston with 10, let's hope they are not on a run to make this season number 11.
An absolute MUST win game tomorrow or I'm afraid the fat lady will be singing for us this season.
its not a maths game though is it, so all of the above is irrelevent
Probability involves maths, how do you think successful gamblers become successful![]()
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this isnt gambling though its football
Fri Feb 26, 2016 11:18 am
Fri Feb 26, 2016 11:31 am
paulh_85 wrote:where did i say probability has nothing to do with maths.![]()
i could have told you we were in the "area of possibility" without trying to look like an expert statistician just by showing you the league table.
People love a stat, but the amount of points with twelve games to go is relatively meaningless
Fri Feb 26, 2016 11:54 am
ThomasC wrote:paulh_85 wrote:where did i say probability has nothing to do with maths.![]()
i could have told you we were in the "area of possibility" without trying to look like an expert statistician just by showing you the league table.
People love a stat, but the amount of points with twelve games to go is relatively meaningless
fair point, but, you can't discount some of the 'meaningless' stats such as PNE who seem to get to play-offs and have a history in reaching them.
Is it because there is less pressure on the players? Maybe they have players who have handled the last few games of the season better than other players to get there. For instance, none of our players have play-off success on the CV or reached them at other clubs. Matt Connelly (exception?) Marshall/Whitts lost Blackpool game and is the only one left from that era. None of our players have a history of winning anything in truth, our Championship promotion team has all but departed us now, (Whitts, Marshall, any others?)
PNE may have players regarded as 'weaker' etc, but, some of them have winners medals, have handled pressure as the stats show. The club is successful in making play-offs, as the stats show. This is where probability is factored in to a head-to-head duel. That's my take from the post you dismissed.
Fri Feb 26, 2016 12:19 pm
Fri Feb 26, 2016 12:53 pm
paulh_85 wrote:castleblue wrote:With the odd exception clubs who reach the playoffs have won 54 points after 34 games and right now only 8 clubs can reach that total. In the last 13 years there have been odd exceptions to that stat with Palace (50) and Blackpool (47) being the best examples.
In 2008/09 we had 59 points after 34 games but imploded, 1 point from the last 12, and lost out on 6th place to Preston by a single goal, that season Preston were on 53 points after 34 games.
We are in the area of mathematical possibility, even with 13 games remaining, but if Derby beat Wolves tomorrow that will see those on 60 points so the only target left for us will be 6th.
So perm any one from 5 (Sheff Wed, Ipswich, Birmingham, Cardiff & Preston) for that final place. Of those clubs one has appeared in the most end of season playoffs, Preston with 10, let's hope they are not on a run to make this season number 11.
An absolute MUST win game tomorrow or I'm afraid the fat lady will be singing for us this season.
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its not a maths game though is it, so all of the above is irrelevent
Fri Feb 26, 2016 1:05 pm
castleblue wrote:paulh_85 wrote:castleblue wrote:With the odd exception clubs who reach the playoffs have won 54 points after 34 games and right now only 8 clubs can reach that total. In the last 13 years there have been odd exceptions to that stat with Palace (50) and Blackpool (47) being the best examples.
In 2008/09 we had 59 points after 34 games but imploded, 1 point from the last 12, and lost out on 6th place to Preston by a single goal, that season Preston were on 53 points after 34 games.
We are in the area of mathematical possibility, even with 13 games remaining, but if Derby beat Wolves tomorrow that will see those on 60 points so the only target left for us will be 6th.
So perm any one from 5 (Sheff Wed, Ipswich, Birmingham, Cardiff & Preston) for that final place. Of those clubs one has appeared in the most end of season playoffs, Preston with 10, let's hope they are not on a run to make this season number 11.
An absolute MUST win game tomorrow or I'm afraid the fat lady will be singing for us this season.
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its not a maths game though is it, so all of the above is irrelevent
There is a clear correlation between points won after 34 games and the eventual finishing position of clubs in the Championship, or any of the other leagues in the football pyramid, so I don't quite see how you can dismiss the statistics are irrelevent.
Year after year after year the number of points required to reach the playoffs is within a range of 70 -78 points with the average of 73 points for 6th place. So far this season we have taken 49% of the points available and to reach the 6th place average we now need to take 66% of the points available, is that possible - YES, but is it probable.
It is a fact that PNE have reached playoffs more often than any other club and right now they are in excellent form having taken 76% of the points availableover the last 10 matches and if they continue that over their remaining games they will reach around 78 points. Again is that possible - Yes, but it is probable. Right now I wouldn't bet against them.
Win tomorrow and we will be right back in the mix to fill that 6th place position but to ensure that we have to improve on the 49% statistic for points won. There in lies the correlation between mathematics, statistics and competitive sport like football.
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Fri Feb 26, 2016 1:09 pm
paulh_85 wrote:castleblue wrote:paulh_85 wrote:castleblue wrote:With the odd exception clubs who reach the playoffs have won 54 points after 34 games and right now only 8 clubs can reach that total. In the last 13 years there have been odd exceptions to that stat with Palace (50) and Blackpool (47) being the best examples.
In 2008/09 we had 59 points after 34 games but imploded, 1 point from the last 12, and lost out on 6th place to Preston by a single goal, that season Preston were on 53 points after 34 games.
We are in the area of mathematical possibility, even with 13 games remaining, but if Derby beat Wolves tomorrow that will see those on 60 points so the only target left for us will be 6th.
So perm any one from 5 (Sheff Wed, Ipswich, Birmingham, Cardiff & Preston) for that final place. Of those clubs one has appeared in the most end of season playoffs, Preston with 10, let's hope they are not on a run to make this season number 11.
An absolute MUST win game tomorrow or I'm afraid the fat lady will be singing for us this season.
![]()
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its not a maths game though is it, so all of the above is irrelevent
There is a clear correlation between points won after 34 games and the eventual finishing position of clubs in the Championship, or any of the other leagues in the football pyramid, so I don't quite see how you can dismiss the statistics are irrelevent.
Year after year after year the number of points required to reach the playoffs is within a range of 70 -78 points with the average of 73 points for 6th place. So far this season we have taken 49% of the points available and to reach the 6th place average we now need to take 66% of the points available, is that possible - YES, but is it probable.
It is a fact that PNE have reached playoffs more often than any other club and right now they are in excellent form having taken 76% of the points availableover the last 10 matches and if they continue that over their remaining games they will reach around 78 points. Again is that possible - Yes, but it is probable. Right now I wouldn't bet against them.
Win tomorrow and we will be right back in the mix to fill that 6th place position but to ensure that we have to improve on the 49% statistic for points won. There in lies the correlation between mathematics, statistics and competitive sport like football.
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you started off ok then went waaay overboard as usual
of course theres a correlation between points after 34 games of the season and the finishing position in the championship. you take the best, lets say 8, teams after 75% of the season and it stands to reason they will pretty much be the top 8 at the end of the league. common sense will tell you that without having to scratch around for non specific stats. I mean youve even said it yourself, teams who reach the playoffs usually have 54 points from 34 games... except for the times they dont
you dont need to work out amount a percentage of points got this season i dont know why you waste your time doing it. Just look at the league table it tells you in black and white that we need to improve without the use of a calculator.
Fri Feb 26, 2016 1:22 pm
Fri Feb 26, 2016 1:49 pm
castleblue wrote:Only 2 clubs of the last 42 who have reached the Championship playoffs have done so with fewer than 54 points after 34 games.
Interesting statistic that.
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Fri Feb 26, 2016 3:24 pm
paulh_85 wrote:castleblue wrote:paulh_85 wrote:castleblue wrote:With the odd exception clubs who reach the playoffs have won 54 points after 34 games and right now only 8 clubs can reach that total. In the last 13 years there have been odd exceptions to that stat with Palace (50) and Blackpool (47) being the best examples.
In 2008/09 we had 59 points after 34 games but imploded, 1 point from the last 12, and lost out on 6th place to Preston by a single goal, that season Preston were on 53 points after 34 games.
We are in the area of mathematical possibility, even with 13 games remaining, but if Derby beat Wolves tomorrow that will see those on 60 points so the only target left for us will be 6th.
So perm any one from 5 (Sheff Wed, Ipswich, Birmingham, Cardiff & Preston) for that final place. Of those clubs one has appeared in the most end of season playoffs, Preston with 10, let's hope they are not on a run to make this season number 11.
An absolute MUST win game tomorrow or I'm afraid the fat lady will be singing for us this season.
![]()
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its not a maths game though is it, so all of the above is irrelevent
There is a clear correlation between points won after 34 games and the eventual finishing position of clubs in the Championship, or any of the other leagues in the football pyramid, so I don't quite see how you can dismiss the statistics are irrelevent.
Year after year after year the number of points required to reach the playoffs is within a range of 70 -78 points with the average of 73 points for 6th place. So far this season we have taken 49% of the points available and to reach the 6th place average we now need to take 66% of the points available, is that possible - YES, but is it probable.
It is a fact that PNE have reached playoffs more often than any other club and right now they are in excellent form having taken 76% of the points availableover the last 10 matches and if they continue that over their remaining games they will reach around 78 points. Again is that possible - Yes, but it is probable. Right now I wouldn't bet against them.
Win tomorrow and we will be right back in the mix to fill that 6th place position but to ensure that we have to improve on the 49% statistic for points won. There in lies the correlation between mathematics, statistics and competitive sport like football.
![]()
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you started off ok then went waaay overboard as usual
of course theres a correlation between points after 34 games of the season and the finishing position in the championship. you take the best, lets say 8, teams after 75% of the season and it stands to reason they will pretty much be the top 8 at the end of the league. common sense will tell you that without having to scratch around for non specific stats. I mean youve even said it yourself, teams who reach the playoffs usually have 54 points from 34 games... except for the times they dont
you dont need to work out amount a percentage of points got this season i dont know why you waste your time doing it. Just look at the league table it tells you in black and white that we need to improve without the use of a calculator.
Fri Feb 26, 2016 3:31 pm
Fri Feb 26, 2016 3:32 pm
Fri Feb 26, 2016 3:41 pm
Tony Blue Williams wrote:paulh_85 wrote:castleblue wrote:paulh_85 wrote:castleblue wrote:With the odd exception clubs who reach the playoffs have won 54 points after 34 games and right now only 8 clubs can reach that total. In the last 13 years there have been odd exceptions to that stat with Palace (50) and Blackpool (47) being the best examples.
In 2008/09 we had 59 points after 34 games but imploded, 1 point from the last 12, and lost out on 6th place to Preston by a single goal, that season Preston were on 53 points after 34 games.
We are in the area of mathematical possibility, even with 13 games remaining, but if Derby beat Wolves tomorrow that will see those on 60 points so the only target left for us will be 6th.
So perm any one from 5 (Sheff Wed, Ipswich, Birmingham, Cardiff & Preston) for that final place. Of those clubs one has appeared in the most end of season playoffs, Preston with 10, let's hope they are not on a run to make this season number 11.
An absolute MUST win game tomorrow or I'm afraid the fat lady will be singing for us this season.
![]()
![]()
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its not a maths game though is it, so all of the above is irrelevent
There is a clear correlation between points won after 34 games and the eventual finishing position of clubs in the Championship, or any of the other leagues in the football pyramid, so I don't quite see how you can dismiss the statistics are irrelevent.
Year after year after year the number of points required to reach the playoffs is within a range of 70 -78 points with the average of 73 points for 6th place. So far this season we have taken 49% of the points available and to reach the 6th place average we now need to take 66% of the points available, is that possible - YES, but is it probable.
It is a fact that PNE have reached playoffs more often than any other club and right now they are in excellent form having taken 76% of the points availableover the last 10 matches and if they continue that over their remaining games they will reach around 78 points. Again is that possible - Yes, but it is probable. Right now I wouldn't bet against them.
Win tomorrow and we will be right back in the mix to fill that 6th place position but to ensure that we have to improve on the 49% statistic for points won. There in lies the correlation between mathematics, statistics and competitive sport like football.
![]()
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you started off ok then went waaay overboard as usual
of course theres a correlation between points after 34 games of the season and the finishing position in the championship. you take the best, lets say 8, teams after 75% of the season and it stands to reason they will pretty much be the top 8 at the end of the league. common sense will tell you that without having to scratch around for non specific stats. I mean youve even said it yourself, teams who reach the playoffs usually have 54 points from 34 games... except for the times they dont
you dont need to work out amount a percentage of points got this season i dont know why you waste your time doing it. Just look at the league table it tells you in black and white that we need to improve without the use of a calculator.
Castleblue wastes his time providing stats because there are a number geekposters like myself who love reading them but can't be arsed to look them up
Fri Feb 26, 2016 4:54 pm
castleblue wrote:With the odd exception clubs who reach the playoffs have won 54 points after 34 games and right now only 8 clubs can reach that total. In the last 13 years there have been odd exceptions to that stat with Palace (50) and Blackpool (47) being the best examples.
In 2008/09 we had 59 points after 34 games but imploded, 1 point from the last 12, and lost out on 6th place to Preston by a single goal, that season Preston were on 53 points after 34 games.
We are in the area of mathematical possibility, even with 13 games remaining, but if Derby beat Wolves tomorrow that will see those on 60 points so the only target left for us will be 6th.
So perm any one from 5 (Sheff Wed, Ipswich, Birmingham, Cardiff & Preston) for that final place. Of those clubs one has appeared in the most end of season playoffs, Preston with 10, let's hope they are not on a run to make this season number 11.
An absolute MUST win game tomorrow or I'm afraid the fat lady will be singing for us this season.
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Fri Feb 26, 2016 5:53 pm
paulh_85 wrote:Tony Blue Williams wrote:paulh_85 wrote:castleblue wrote:paulh_85 wrote:castleblue wrote:With the odd exception clubs who reach the playoffs have won 54 points after 34 games and right now only 8 clubs can reach that total. In the last 13 years there have been odd exceptions to that stat with Palace (50) and Blackpool (47) being the best examples.
In 2008/09 we had 59 points after 34 games but imploded, 1 point from the last 12, and lost out on 6th place to Preston by a single goal, that season Preston were on 53 points after 34 games.
We are in the area of mathematical possibility, even with 13 games remaining, but if Derby beat Wolves tomorrow that will see those on 60 points so the only target left for us will be 6th.
So perm any one from 5 (Sheff Wed, Ipswich, Birmingham, Cardiff & Preston) for that final place. Of those clubs one has appeared in the most end of season playoffs, Preston with 10, let's hope they are not on a run to make this season number 11.
An absolute MUST win game tomorrow or I'm afraid the fat lady will be singing for us this season.
![]()
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its not a maths game though is it, so all of the above is irrelevent
There is a clear correlation between points won after 34 games and the eventual finishing position of clubs in the Championship, or any of the other leagues in the football pyramid, so I don't quite see how you can dismiss the statistics are irrelevent.
Year after year after year the number of points required to reach the playoffs is within a range of 70 -78 points with the average of 73 points for 6th place. So far this season we have taken 49% of the points available and to reach the 6th place average we now need to take 66% of the points available, is that possible - YES, but is it probable.
It is a fact that PNE have reached playoffs more often than any other club and right now they are in excellent form having taken 76% of the points availableover the last 10 matches and if they continue that over their remaining games they will reach around 78 points. Again is that possible - Yes, but it is probable. Right now I wouldn't bet against them.
Win tomorrow and we will be right back in the mix to fill that 6th place position but to ensure that we have to improve on the 49% statistic for points won. There in lies the correlation between mathematics, statistics and competitive sport like football.
![]()
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you started off ok then went waaay overboard as usual
of course theres a correlation between points after 34 games of the season and the finishing position in the championship. you take the best, lets say 8, teams after 75% of the season and it stands to reason they will pretty much be the top 8 at the end of the league. common sense will tell you that without having to scratch around for non specific stats. I mean youve even said it yourself, teams who reach the playoffs usually have 54 points from 34 games... except for the times they dont
you dont need to work out amount a percentage of points got this season i dont know why you waste your time doing it. Just look at the league table it tells you in black and white that we need to improve without the use of a calculator.
Castleblue wastes his time providing stats because there are a number geekposters like myself who love reading them but can't be arsed to look them up
lets hope he gets them right next time then
Fri Feb 26, 2016 7:35 pm
Sat Feb 27, 2016 12:37 pm
paulh_85 wrote:I see what you did there