Thanks Keith
" Seedings for Euro 16 finals "
Keith Morgan
aka Since62
Here goes an attempt to set it out in simple terms but don`t blame me as it is not straightforward (what is in either FIFA or UEFA?).
Basically the group stages of the finals will have 6 groups of 4 teams based on seedings as calculated below. The top two teams from each group plus the best 4 third place finishers will qualify for the round of 16 knockout stage (i.e. 16 of the 24 qualifiers will get through to the knockout stage).
Seedings are based on the UEFA 2015 rankings , which take into account the qualification records for the 2012 UEFA finals , the 2014 World Cup qualifiers and the 2016 UEFA qualifiers.
Despite Wales being ranked 8th in the world by FIFA , we are only ranked 29th in Europe by UEFA on the above criteria. There are still either one or two games left to play in qualifying for all teams which will impact on those rankings , but it looks like no team who will reach the finals(N Ireland have just overtaken us) will be ranked lower than Wales , so we will be in the bottom group of seeds and will therefore be bound to be drawn against some tough opponents.
As of today , the top ranked teams who will be seeded 1 in the 6 groups are Germany , Spain , France, Portugal, England and Netherlands but Belgium and Italy are only just behind Netherlands who may not qualify anyway.
Wales could have a group of say Germany, Belgium and Austria to play which wouldn`t be easy to get through. I would prefer the possibility of Portugal , Switzerland and Republic of Ireland (if the make it).
Keith