down by ditching Malky Mackay?

The numbers suggest it has made all the difference for Sunderland and Crystal Palace. Cardiff, on the other hand…


Yesterday we looked at how many points clubs need to avoid relegation, and predicted that West Brom, Cardiff and Fulham will drop.

We wanted to see whether sacking your manager – or having them quit – has actually saved anyone from relegation this year. And the answer, we think, is yes.

So far 6 Premier League clubs have sacked their manager, and Crystal Palace accepted Ian Holloway’s resignation.

We looked at the points each club were averaging per game with their original manager, and what they could have expected to finish the season on if that had carried on. Then we looked at what they’ve averaged since the change, and where that would place them.

Under this formula we think Sunderland and Crystal Palace have saved themselves by changing manager. Conversely we think Cardiff City have put themselves down by ditching Malky Mackay.
CCFC






Ave Pts-per-game under original manager


Ave Pts-per-game after manager left


Change


Cardiff City 0.94 0.62 -0.32
Crystal Palace 0.37 1.35 0.98
Fulham 0.77 0.77 0
Swansea City 1.04 1.5 0.46
Sunderland 0.2 1.15 0.95
Tottenham Hotspur 1.68 2.3 0.62
West Brom 0.94 0.9 -0.04
.
Sunderland and Crystal Palace have both improved their points-per-game average by nearly a whole point since ditching Di Canio and Holloway.

Fulham have changed managers twice now, but their average points-per-game has remained constant throughout the season. And has always been so low as to put them in the relegation frame.

Likewise, West Brom’s management change has made no significant difference to their average points-per-game.

Cardiff City, though, have seen their average dip from around a point-per-game down to 0.62 per game. If that rate continues under Ole Gunnar Solskjær, we won’t be getting any Welsh derbies in the Premier League next year.

We were as good as down anyway. Malky had lost most dressing room. Ole was a gamble that so far hasnt paid off. If we go down ill judge him xmas time.

We were as good as down anyway. Malky had lost most dressing room. Ole was a gamble that so far hasnt paid off. If we go down ill judge him xmas time.

I was not a Malky fan when he came in but he did not do a bad job. 17 points from 18 games. Yes the football was drab but he may well have kept us up. How can it be said that he lost the dressing room when he achieved 17 points from 18 games?

We were as good as down anyway. Malky had lost most dressing room. Ole was a gamble that so far hasnt paid off. If we go down ill judge him xmas time.

I was not a Malky fan when he came in but he did not do a bad job. 17 points from 18 games. Yes the football was drab but he may well have kept us up. How can it be said that he lost the dressing room when he achieved 17 points from 18 games?

By the end he had.

They were fed up at the tactics, thats come from players themselves.

I think malky would have kept us in the premier league.

He got us to the premier so should have been given a full season.

He wasnt just sacked based on results. There were other major factors in play

I think malky should have been sacked earlier, it took far to long sadly. Was ole the right appointment I don't know.

Said it in another thread.

Before the idiot started poking his beak in we were right on track, averaging a point per game. Don't get me wrong the football was tedious on times but it was a hell lot more effective than what we're getting now. I don't blame Ole he has his own plans but to go from a hard to beat, defensive set up to fast attacking football is too much change in a short space of time.

I mean fair enough if we were dramatically underachieving, bottom of the league and Tan had no choice, but we were doing okay . There was no need to disrupt everything, he should have swallowed his pride for the good of the club and at least let Malky get on with his job till the end of the season, no doubt we would be in a much better situation than we are now. I hear Ole saying "the owner just wants to be successful" well the only way that's going to happen is by having stability, Sacking your manager halfway through a season when he's performing results wise is not going to give you stability. It was criminal and we're now paying for it, just another one of Tan's fantastic decisions.