Who could go down?

Looking at this link (http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/football/25705596), Danny Mills reckons that only teams from West Brom downwards could go down. Mark Lawrenson thinks that anyone from Hull downwards are in danger. Here's the bottom bottom eleven at the moment, all having played 21 games:

10 Hull - 23pts
11 Aston Villa - 23pts
12 Stoke - 22pts
13 Swansea - 21pts
14 West Brom - 21pts
15 Norwich - 20pts
16 Fulham - 19pts
17 West Ham - 18pts
--------------------------
18 Cardiff - 18pts
19 Sunderland - 17pts
20 Palace - 17pts

Then let's see who have to face the top teams - we'll include Man City, Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool and Man Utd.

Man City

Cardiff, Sunderland, Stoke, Villa, Fulham, West Brom and West Ham have to travel to the Etihad.

Norwich, Hull and and Palace face Man City at home.

Arsenal

Fulham, Palace, Sunderland, Swansea, West Ham and West Brom go to Arsenal.

Stoke, Hull and Norwich play Arsenal at home.

Chelsea

Stoke, West Ham, Sunderland and Norwich go to Chelsea.

Cardiff, Fulham, Villa, Palace and Swansea play Chelsea at home.

Liverpool

Villa, Swansea and Sunderland go to Liverpool.

Cardiff, West Brom, Fulham, West Ham, Norwich and Palace play Liverpool at home.

So going by that, the teams above have to play one of the current top four on the following amounts:

Hull - 2
Aston Villa - 3
Stoke - 3
Swansea - 3
West Brom - 3
Norwich - 4
Fulham - 4
West Ham - 4
Cardiff - 3
Sunderland - 4
Palace - 4

So, that's where Hull have an advantage over the rest. While Norwich, Fulham, West Ham, Sunderland and Palace face an uphill task.

Personally, I think Swansea and Hull have enough about them to stay up but apart from that..

Quietly confident we have enough to stay in this division.

Our home games against Fulham, Norwich, Palace, Stoke, Villa, Hull and WBA are crucial. They say you need 40 points, and we're on 18 now. If we won all those home games I've pointed out, then we'll be safe - but we all know it's not as simple as that!

I'm predicting we finish between 13 - 15 place. I think once we start getting into our stride we will be formidable. Solskjaer got it right by going at team rather than sitting back and absorb the attacks. Everyone's flapping over nothing, write Jan off then watch us climb the table past the filthy gypo's

I think palace, west ham, and Fulham will get the chop this season not us

think i agree that those from West Brom down are the ones in trouble.

Cardiff squad is not good enough... Improvements must be made if they wish to remain a top fight club for next season.


Fulham have lost the best forward they had in Ruiz.. Cannot see them surviving to be honest.

Hull City giving themselves a good chance of survival with Long and Jelavic.
Can get goals in this league,but how many?


Pulis has done well since arriving at Palace. He knows what's needed to stay up.
Squad is questionable though ..


Stoke are so difficult at home and that may see them safe.
Hughes record in the Market may worry fans though.


Villa are in real risk of dropping out.
Lambert is sticking to his guns and it could backfire.
Nice guy though.


Swansea are going to have to make a choice. Cup or league. FA cup and Uefa games or secure survival.
Can't do all 3.


West Ham are poor. Can't see Sam saving them despite last weeks effort.
They always beat Cardiff.


Sunderland seem to have United under Gus.
Can see them finishing mid table.


Based on the above

Bottom 3 in May

18. West Ham/Aston Villa
19. Cardiff
20. Fulham.

Forgot about Baggies...

Difficult for a foreigner to be expected to succeed in a league he has no knowledge of. Especially in a relegation battle.

17. West ham/Villa
18. Cardiff
19. West Brom
20. Fulham.

Swansea are going to have to make a choice. Cup or league. FA cup and Uefa games or secure survival.
Can't do all 3.

Source?

Swansea are going to have to make a choice. Cup or league. FA cup and Uefa games or secure survival.
Can't do all 3.

Source?

Why would I need to provide a source for my opinion?

Check out my post from the weekend

http://www.cardiffcityforum.co.uk/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=132815

I think Fulham and Norwich will go down... Third spot is up for grabs

Anyone from Swansea downwards could go down IMO.

I reckon bottom half of table

20. Fulham
19. West Brom
18. Sunderland

17. Palace
16. Cardiff
15. Swansea
14. West Ham
13. Stoke
12. Norwitch
11. Hull
10. Villa