The breakdown (stats)
Mon Apr 01, 2013 5:49 pm
Hull beat Watford = We need 8 points to go up - 2 wins and 2 draws or equivalent from 7 games
They draw = We need 9 points to go up - 3 wins or equivalent from 7 games
Watford beat Hull = We need 11 points to go up - 3 wins and 2 draws or equivalent from 7 games
With us playing Watford then we can influence the margin and totals;
Watford's result tomorrow
Win = 70 points - 6 games left - total of 88 possible
Draw = 68 points - 6 games left - total of 86 possible
Lose = 67 points - 6 games left - total of 85 possible
Us vs Watford (outcomes vs us if they lose tomorrow vs Hull City)
We win
Cardiff 81 pts
Watford 67 pts
15 points left for Watford to get - gap of 14 pts between us - we beat Watford then they have to win all 5 remaining games and we have to lose all of our remaining 6 games for them to go up.
We draw
Cardiff 79 pts
Watford 68 pts
Gap of 11 - 15 points left for Watford to get - They can't afford to slip up here either. A 4 point swing on any afternoon and its over for them. If we win and they lose (6 point swing) then its game over. The gap would be up to 14 points and they would have 12 left to play for.
We lose
Cardiff 78 pts
Watford 70 pts
Gap of 8 pts - 15 points left for Watford to get - Still tough on Watford - Ill explain why - We win and they lose on a day and that 6 point availability swing comes into question (3 pts us gained, 3 pts they've lost) - That would leave them with 12 points on offer and 11 points behind us. That would mean no more slip ups for them if they want to clinch promotion by a point.
The breakdown
If Hull beat or draw vs Watford and we beat Watford we've pretty much done the job. We could well be celebrating promotion at Watford which would be fitting as I believe the game is on Sky and its against Malky's old club. Our game against Watford is a cup final. Malky, get the team fired up!!!!
They draw = We need 9 points to go up - 3 wins or equivalent from 7 games
Watford beat Hull = We need 11 points to go up - 3 wins and 2 draws or equivalent from 7 games
With us playing Watford then we can influence the margin and totals;
Watford's result tomorrow
Win = 70 points - 6 games left - total of 88 possible
Draw = 68 points - 6 games left - total of 86 possible
Lose = 67 points - 6 games left - total of 85 possible
Us vs Watford (outcomes vs us if they lose tomorrow vs Hull City)
We win
Cardiff 81 pts
Watford 67 pts
15 points left for Watford to get - gap of 14 pts between us - we beat Watford then they have to win all 5 remaining games and we have to lose all of our remaining 6 games for them to go up.
We draw
Cardiff 79 pts
Watford 68 pts
Gap of 11 - 15 points left for Watford to get - They can't afford to slip up here either. A 4 point swing on any afternoon and its over for them. If we win and they lose (6 point swing) then its game over. The gap would be up to 14 points and they would have 12 left to play for.
We lose
Cardiff 78 pts
Watford 70 pts
Gap of 8 pts - 15 points left for Watford to get - Still tough on Watford - Ill explain why - We win and they lose on a day and that 6 point availability swing comes into question (3 pts us gained, 3 pts they've lost) - That would leave them with 12 points on offer and 11 points behind us. That would mean no more slip ups for them if they want to clinch promotion by a point.
The breakdown
If Hull beat or draw vs Watford and we beat Watford we've pretty much done the job. We could well be celebrating promotion at Watford which would be fitting as I believe the game is on Sky and its against Malky's old club. Our game against Watford is a cup final. Malky, get the team fired up!!!!
Re: The breakdown (stats)
Mon Apr 01, 2013 6:15 pm
Sounds easy when you put it like that! 