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Are these odds accurate against the way things stand?

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Have The Bookies Got It Right?

Mon Mar 11, 2013 11:53 am

These are the best odds from 24 on line bookies......

To win the league......

1. Cardiff 1/5
2. Hull 10/1
3. Watford 12/1
4. Crystal Palace 28/1
5. Leicester 100/1
6. Nottingham Forest 125/1

For promotion.....

1. Cardiff 1/16
2. Hull 11/10
3. Watford 11/10
4. Crystal Palace 15/8
5. Leicester 11/4
6.Nottingham Forest 11/2

Looking at these odds we are virtually a dead cert to go up, but do you agree with them?

Re: Have The Bookies Got It Right?

Mon Mar 11, 2013 12:09 pm

I don't think they have - NO.

They are saying there's only a 1 in 16 chance we WON'T get promoted, I don't agree this is the case.

There is 11 games left, we would only have to loose 4 of those to be back in the play-offs and in this league this COULD quite easily happen.

I think they are selling us a bit short on those odds.

Re: Have The Bookies Got It Right?

Mon Mar 11, 2013 12:24 pm

T1JMO wrote:I don't think they have - NO.

They are saying there's only a 1 in 16 chance we WON'T get promoted, I don't agree this is the case.

There is 11 games left, we would only have to loose 4 of those to be back in the play-offs and in this league this COULD quite easily happen.

I think they are selling us a bit short on those odds.


We could lose 4 and still win the league comfortably.

Re: Have The Bookies Got It Right?

Mon Mar 11, 2013 12:28 pm

Some clever Leicester chap did a prediction going on present form from the last 4 and 6 games before this weekend.

If you took the last 4 we had an average of about 1.6 points per game. Watford had something like 2.17. If we were to continue that form then we would just beat Watford to the title. However if you took the last 6 games we would win the league comfortably.

Summing up we are on our worst run yet should still become title winners. So basically we needs to be doing a lot worse to lose out.

Re: Have The Bookies Got It Right?

Mon Mar 11, 2013 12:29 pm

T1JMO wrote:I don't think they have - NO.

They are saying there's only a 1 in 16 chance we WON'T get promoted, I don't agree this is the case.

There is 11 games left, we would only have to loose 4 of those to be back in the play-offs and in this league this COULD quite easily happen.

I think they are selling us a bit short on those odds.


We could lose 4 and still win the league comfortably.