10 more wins ????

Here's the last 12 years of the championship :

Code:

00-01 - Fulham    101  Blackburn   91  Bolton         87
01-02 - Man City   99  West Brom   89  Wolves         86
02-03 - Portsmouth 98  Leicester   92  Sheff Utd      80
03-04 - Norwich    94  West Brom   86  Sunderland     79  (Cardiff 13th 65)
04-05 - Sunderland 94  Wigan       87  Ipswich        85  (Cardiff 16th 54)
05-06 - Reading   106  Sheff Utd   90  Watford        81  (Cardiff 11th 60)
06-07 - Sunderland 88  Birmingham  86  Derby          84  (Cardiff 13th 64)
07-08 - West Brom  81  Stoke       79  Hull           75  (Cardiff 12th 64)
08-09 - Wolves     90  Birmingham  83  Sheff Utd      80  (Cardiff  7th 74)
09-10 - Newcastle 102  West Brom   91  Notts Forest   79  (Cardiff  4th 76)
10-11 - QPR        88  Norwich     84  S**nsea        80  (Cardiff  4th 80)
11-12 - Reading    89  Southampton 88  West Ham       86  (Cardiff  6th 75)

12-13 - Cardiff    53  Hull        48  Middlesborough 47  (after 25 games)

Average points of 3rd place : 81.8

So we (just ) need to get another 29 points or 10 wins from 21 games to have a real good chance of automatic promotion .....

Believe .....

there is no way i can see us not getting over 80 points.

how will other teams do? hull are on a good run and are a very good side, while Liecester will be up there i think.

Interesting, one game at a time, but it's the average that's higher than it should be cos of the three 100 pts plus seasons.

Looking good at the moment. On course at the moment, hope it stays that way

Looking at those stats we need 88 points to be sure of beating all the 3rd placed teams from last twelve years. So 35 more to get to beat that mark

I've decided that I want to see another 36 pts, so 12 wins.

89 pts just to be safe.

That's a great table nine dogs, any chance you can do it after 25 games for all years?

That's a great table nine dogs, any chance you can do it after 25 games for all years?

Wayne, Sure here you go ....

(Taken from http://www.statto.com/football/stats/england/league-championship/2011-2012/table/2012-01-02)

Code:

00-01 -    Fulham    101       Blackburn   91       Bolton         87
~25 games  Fulham     61 (25)  Bolton      54 (27)  West Brom      59 (27)

01-02 -    Man City   99       West Brom   89       Wolves         86
~25 games  Burnley    50 (25)  Man City    46 (25)  Wolves         46 (26)

02-03 -    Portsmouth 98       Leicester   92       Sheff Utd      80
~25 games  Portsmouth 55 (25)  Leicester   51 (25)  Sheff Utd      45 (24)

03-04 -    Norwich    94       West Brom   86       Sunderland     79      (Cardiff 13th 65)
~25 games  Norwich    49 (25)  West Brom   46 (25)  Sheff Utd      44 (24) (Cardiff 11th 35 (25))


Code:

04-05 -    Sunderland 94       Wigan       87       Ipswich        85      (Cardiff 16th 54)
~25 games  Ipswich    49 (25)  Wigan       47 (25)  Reading        47 (25) (Cardiff 21st 23 (25))

05-06 -    Reading   106       Sheff Utd   90       Watford        81      (Cardiff 11th 60)
~25 games  Reading    62 (25)  Sheff Utd   53 (25)  Watford        42 (25) (Cardiff 10th 35 (25))

06-07 -    Sunderland 88       Birmingham  86       Derby          84      (Cardiff 13th 64)
~25 games  Birmingham 52 (25)  Preston     44 (25)  Derby          44 (25) (Cardiff 5th  41 (25))

07-08 -    West Brom  81       Stoke       79       Hull           75      (Cardiff 12th 64)
~25 games  West Brom  47 (25)  Watford     44 (25)  Bristol City   44 (25) (Cardiff 12th 33 (25))


Code:

08-09 -    Wolves     90       Birmingham  83       Sheff Utd      80      (Cardiff  7th 74)
~25 games  Wolves     57 (25)  Reading     50 (25)  Birmingham     50 (25) (Cardiff  5th 41 (25))

09-10 -    Newcastle 102       West Brom   91       Notts Forest   79      (Cardiff  4th 76)
~25 games  Newcastle  52 (25)  Notts For   49 (26)  West Brom      46 (25) (Cardiff  5th 39 (25))

10-11 -    QPR        88       Norwich     84       S**nsea        80      (Cardiff  4th 80)
~25 games  QPR        48 (25)  Norwich     43 (25)  S**nsea        43 (26) (Cardiff  5th 40 (24))

11-12 -    Reading    89       Southampton 88       West Ham       86      (Cardiff  6th 75)
~25 games  Southamptn 47 (25)  West Ham    47 (25)  Cardiff        45 (25) 

12-13 -    Cardiff    53       Hull        48       Middlesborough 47      (after 25 games)

11 wins 2 draws and with 8 loses. It's a nice feeling getting to the stage we can calculate this stuff, but a long way to go need a strong Jan transfer window.

We took 30 points from last 21 games last season

From those stats no team that has broke the 50 point barrier in 25 games has ended up with less than 88 points. Thats the minimum so if we can get another 35/63 points on offer then we should be up. This season I cant see third getting more than 82 points if im honest though but better to get the points in early and start doing the math from a better position later.

Burnley in 01-02 50 pts after 25 games and top finished the season out of the playoffs in 7th

Reading in 08-09 50 pts after 25 games finished 5th with 77 points

Burnley in 01-02 50 pts after 25 games and top finished the season out of the playoffs in 7th

Reading in 08-09 50 pts after 25 games finished 5th with 77 points

Sorry, made a mistake, meant 53 point barrier which we've broken. Why I said 50 points I dont know as we're on 53