Tue Jul 13, 2021 11:24 pm
Wed Jul 14, 2021 12:23 am
Sven wrote:Scoularite wrote:Looks like Boris might be the one really screwing up yet again as the Dutch have to change their policy of removing restrictions:
Report by the Independent
First came the easing of lockdown, then came the reimposition of pandemic restrictions, folowed by a humbling apology by the prime minister.
Now comes the reckoning. The Netherlands has learned to its cost that even when three-quarters of its adults are vaccinated, there are still huge risks in reopening. Coronavirus infections have exploded by more than 500 per cent over the last week, the country’s public health institute has said. Nearly 52,000 people in the Netherlands tested positive for COVID-19 over the past week.
With the reopening of nightclubs, the institute found that almost four in ten of the new infections happened in a hospitality venue such as a bar or club. Infections among people ages 18-24 surged by 262 per cent, followed by a 191 per cent rise for 25-29 year-olds.
After restrictions in Dutch nightclubs were lifted on June 26, coronavirus infections surged twelvefold to their highest levels in a year: from just 806 cases a day on July 1, they reached 3,646 on July 7 and 10,345 on Saturday, July 10. Even as a seven-day rolling average, the numbers rose tenfold between June 30 and July 12 to 6,667. That works out at 345 cases per million, with only Britain (477) and Cyprus (1,012) having higher infection rates in Europe.
On Tuesday, for the first time since the start of the coronavirus pandemic, the reproduction (R) number had climbed to over two other people, reaching 2.17. The spike in infections has not yet led to a notable rise in hospital admissions, but the government has now warned that this could be threatened by the current “unprecedented” increase in infections.
Around 1,260 people likely went to nightclubs in the past two weeks while they were infected, according to data analyst Martijn de Riet, who says this led to around 30 superspreader events. But while the government blamed irresponsible, infected youngsters for faking QR codes to get into venues, Mr de Riet says the real issue was a testing system with too many false negatives.
“It means that 0.3% of last weekend’s 420,000 tests were falsely negative. That’s 1,260 people with Covid19 who happily went into the pub with a green tick mark,” he said. “There is no reason to believe that cheating QRs are the cause of this outbreak. This is pure gaslighting.”
The Dutch experience is a salutory lesson for any country that feels confident enough to lift, wholesale, coronavirus restrictions.
The experiment lasted barely two weeks.
From June 26, Mark Rutte, the PM announced that face masks would, in most cases, be ditched. No limits were set on the number of guests allowed in stores, bars and restaurants. “This is a special moment,” he said. Mr Rutte was not wrong.
The plans were reversed by early July after the massive spike in infections, with bars, restaurants and nightclubs closed once again to indoor service last Friday. Mr Rutte on Monday offered his mea culpa to the nation.
“What we thought would be possible, turned out not to be possible in practice,” he said. “We had poor judgement, which we regret and for which we apologise.”
Now, the country’s top virologists claim their warnings about easing lockdown rules at the end of June were ignored by politicians.
That was a hard read, but enlightening at the same time...
Wed Jul 14, 2021 8:30 am
by pembroke allan » Wed Jul 14, 2021 12:23 am
Very enlightening but don't you think that all politicians are using expert opinion to suit themselves and what they want? for every expert saying one thing garauntee theres another saying opposite we have a choice open up buisnesses without restrictions or have a mishmash of some open some closed like we have now? Eg ice rinks been closed for ever in Wales open in England since may and lots of other situations as well.... there are lots of Joe public made to scared to want places to open up which drakeford as seized on using it in latest speech as a reason not to set date or anything like it as to when we can get back to some kind normal ... be interesting to see what he says later today as to what happens next suspect not a great deal be more rhetoric than substance .
Wed Jul 14, 2021 9:01 am
pembroke allan wrote:Sven wrote:Scoularite wrote:Looks like Boris might be the one really screwing up yet again as the Dutch have to change their policy of removing restrictions:
Report by the Independent
First came the easing of lockdown, then came the reimposition of pandemic restrictions, folowed by a humbling apology by the prime minister.
Now comes the reckoning. The Netherlands has learned to its cost that even when three-quarters of its adults are vaccinated, there are still huge risks in reopening. Coronavirus infections have exploded by more than 500 per cent over the last week, the country’s public health institute has said. Nearly 52,000 people in the Netherlands tested positive for COVID-19 over the past week.
With the reopening of nightclubs, the institute found that almost four in ten of the new infections happened in a hospitality venue such as a bar or club. Infections among people ages 18-24 surged by 262 per cent, followed by a 191 per cent rise for 25-29 year-olds.
After restrictions in Dutch nightclubs were lifted on June 26, coronavirus infections surged twelvefold to their highest levels in a year: from just 806 cases a day on July 1, they reached 3,646 on July 7 and 10,345 on Saturday, July 10. Even as a seven-day rolling average, the numbers rose tenfold between June 30 and July 12 to 6,667. That works out at 345 cases per million, with only Britain (477) and Cyprus (1,012) having higher infection rates in Europe.
On Tuesday, for the first time since the start of the coronavirus pandemic, the reproduction (R) number had climbed to over two other people, reaching 2.17. The spike in infections has not yet led to a notable rise in hospital admissions, but the government has now warned that this could be threatened by the current “unprecedented” increase in infections.
Around 1,260 people likely went to nightclubs in the past two weeks while they were infected, according to data analyst Martijn de Riet, who says this led to around 30 superspreader events. But while the government blamed irresponsible, infected youngsters for faking QR codes to get into venues, Mr de Riet says the real issue was a testing system with too many false negatives.
“It means that 0.3% of last weekend’s 420,000 tests were falsely negative. That’s 1,260 people with Covid19 who happily went into the pub with a green tick mark,” he said. “There is no reason to believe that cheating QRs are the cause of this outbreak. This is pure gaslighting.”
The Dutch experience is a salutory lesson for any country that feels confident enough to lift, wholesale, coronavirus restrictions.
The experiment lasted barely two weeks.
From June 26, Mark Rutte, the PM announced that face masks would, in most cases, be ditched. No limits were set on the number of guests allowed in stores, bars and restaurants. “This is a special moment,” he said. Mr Rutte was not wrong.
The plans were reversed by early July after the massive spike in infections, with bars, restaurants and nightclubs closed once again to indoor service last Friday. Mr Rutte on Monday offered his mea culpa to the nation.
“What we thought would be possible, turned out not to be possible in practice,” he said. “We had poor judgement, which we regret and for which we apologise.”
Now, the country’s top virologists claim their warnings about easing lockdown rules at the end of June were ignored by politicians.
That was a hard read, but enlightening at the same time...
Very enlightening but dont you think that all politicians are using expert opinion to suit themselves and what they want? for every expert saying one thing garauntee theres another saying opposite we have a choice open up buisnesses without restrictions or have a mishmash of some open some closed like we have now? Eg ice rinks been closed for ever in Wales open in England since may and lots of other situations as well.... there are lots of Joe public made to scared to want places to open up which drakeford as seized on using it in latest speech as a reason not to set date or anything like it as to when we can get back to some kind normal ... be interesting to see what he says later today as to what happens next suspect not a great deal be more rhetoric than substance .
Wed Jul 14, 2021 10:25 am
Scoularite wrote:by pembroke allan » Wed Jul 14, 2021 12:23 am
Very enlightening but don't you think that all politicians are using expert opinion to suit themselves and what they want? for every expert saying one thing garauntee theres another saying opposite we have a choice open up buisnesses without restrictions or have a mishmash of some open some closed like we have now? Eg ice rinks been closed for ever in Wales open in England since may and lots of other situations as well.... there are lots of Joe public made to scared to want places to open up which drakeford as seized on using it in latest speech as a reason not to set date or anything like it as to when we can get back to some kind normal ... be interesting to see what he says later today as to what happens next suspect not a great deal be more rhetoric than substance .
Politicians have got a really difficult job at the moment and I agree that they are "using expert opinion to suit themselves", and sometimes with their own "twist" on it. Drakeford seems to have his helmet on and is just sitting in the trenches, while Boris is just thick, and with both, it's pretty much all or nothing.
Why don't they involve the businesses, such as football clubs, ice rinks, etc., to agree on operational plans for each of them that allow them to open in a more controlled manner that the clubs then "police" that will start a gradual move back to normality? I'm sure that most fans would give it a go as they won't want to put others at risk.
Wed Jul 14, 2021 11:39 am
Wed Jul 14, 2021 11:44 am
Bluebina wrote:When's he making this announcement?
It's normally 12:15 BBC ???
Wed Jul 14, 2021 12:00 pm
Bluebina wrote:Bluebina wrote:When's he making this announcement?
It's normally 12:15 BBC ???
Just found it 17:15 BBC
Wed Jul 14, 2021 1:44 pm
Bluebina wrote:Bluebina wrote:When's he making this announcement?
It's normally 12:15 BBC ???
Just found it 17:15 BBC