Sat Dec 19, 2020 9:02 pm
Jestrix wrote:pembroke allan wrote:thomasblue wrote:If people actually took this seriously and stopped listening to bollocks on Facebook and being selfish this wouldn't be happening.
Not the government's fault anymore it's the people
One simple answer to the idiots breaking rules put them up in the empty hotels for 10days with army keeping them in isolation! Do that soon stop others taking the piss with parties ect... did similar in Australia with students soon sorted out problem..
But one major concern is why are people who are supposed to be wearing ppe and taking extra precautions in work are catching corvid like the 9 in vaccine centre? Its same with police and health boards across Wales something is not right or people are not practicing what they preach?
It's quite possibly because half of the PPE we're given in hospital isn't worth shit... the masks as shown by the anmount of people wearing them in public aren't worth the effort of putting them on and it also depends on viral load. If your working with C-19+ patients for 12 hrs a day then your viral load is obviously alot higher than those who are working from home or are in a job with minimal contact or social distancing is more easy to follow.
Sat Dec 19, 2020 9:17 pm
Sat Dec 19, 2020 9:27 pm
ReesWestonSuperMare wrote:"Add him along with France's Italy's German Spain and every other leaders incompetency because all got massive deaths! Oh musnt forget drakefords 3k "
Wales - 3,000 dead in a population is 3 million 0.001%
England 60,000 dead in a population of 55,800,000 is approx 0.001%
Scotland 4,500 dead in a population of 5,400,000 roughly 0.001%
USA approx 250,000 dead in a population of 300,000,000 is roughly the same as above
Dont know the figures for other countries / populations but 0.001% death of population seems roughly the figure to date. Obviously the more people die in the future the higher the percentage will go up - thats if my maths are right of course - happy to be corrected #fagpacketmaths
Sat Dec 19, 2020 9:48 pm
pembroke allan wrote:ReesWestonSuperMare wrote:"Add him along with France's Italy's German Spain and every other leaders incompetency because all got massive deaths! Oh musnt forget drakefords 3k "
Wales - 3,000 dead in a population is 3 million 0.001%
England 60,000 dead in a population of 55,800,000 is approx 0.001%
Scotland 4,500 dead in a population of 5,400,000 roughly 0.001%
USA approx 250,000 dead in a population of 300,000,000 is roughly the same as above
Dont know the figures for other countries / populations but 0.001% death of population seems roughly the figure to date. Obviously the more people die in the future the higher the percentage will go up - thats if my maths are right of course - happy to be corrected #fagpacketmaths
Never argue with people's figures sounds about right only pr have eith things is way desthscsre vountrdv ice you've followed things for any length of time you'll see there are two different ways they've used to count deaths plus other factors made up as go along? But crucially deaths are counted because got covid mentioned on death certificate not that they have died of covid? Which is different from other countries which is why we have higher rate than most countries..... anyway it us getting out of hand that us for sure
Sat Dec 19, 2020 9:56 pm
ReesWestonSuperMare wrote:pembroke allan wrote:ReesWestonSuperMare wrote:"Add him along with France's Italy's German Spain and every other leaders incompetency because all got massive deaths! Oh musnt forget drakefords 3k "
Wales - 3,000 dead in a population is 3 million 0.001%
England 60,000 dead in a population of 55,800,000 is approx 0.001%
Scotland 4,500 dead in a population of 5,400,000 roughly 0.001%
USA approx 250,000 dead in a population of 300,000,000 is roughly the same as above
Dont know the figures for other countries / populations but 0.001% death of population seems roughly the figure to date. Obviously the more people die in the future the higher the percentage will go up - thats if my maths are right of course - happy to be corrected #fagpacketmaths
Never argue with people's figures sounds about right only pr have eith things is way desthscsre vountrdv ice you've followed things for any length of time you'll see there are two different ways they've used to count deaths plus other factors made up as go along? But crucially deaths are counted because got covid mentioned on death certificate not that they have died of covid? Which is different from other countries which is why we have higher rate than most countries..... anyway it us getting out of hand that us for sure
I know it's very hard to get an accurate figure as different countries used different ways to count a death / cause - so that was the best I could do.
Personally it should be that if you die in hospital and had covid - then that's a pretty strong factor covid on the whole would have been the cause , same as if you had covid and died at home and had no other illness at the time of getting it - then pretty strong case that covid caused it.
Sat Dec 19, 2020 10:29 pm
Sat Dec 19, 2020 10:35 pm
ReesWestonSuperMare wrote:"Your maths is way out mate. Your out by a factor of 100. 0.001% of 70 million would be 700. If only. Your figure should be 0.1%"
3,000,000 people in wales , 3,000 dead. Take the three noughts off the 3,000 and the 3,000,000 that gives 3 deaths per 3,000
Divide that again and it's 1 death per 1,000 - yep your right , 0.1% per infection results in death , so for every 100 people in Wales infected 99.9% survive (so far anyway)
I know if's a different % if you break it down in age groups etc
Sat Dec 19, 2020 10:37 pm
WestCoastBlue wrote:ReesWestonSuperMare wrote:"Your maths is way out mate. Your out by a factor of 100. 0.001% of 70 million would be 700. If only. Your figure should be 0.1%"
3,000,000 people in wales , 3,000 dead. Take the three noughts off the 3,000 and the 3,000,000 that gives 3 deaths per 3,000
Divide that again and it's 1 death per 1,000 - yep your right , 0.1% per infection results in death , so for every 100 people in Wales infected 99.9% survive (so far anyway)
I know if's a different % if you break it down in age groups etc
No offence mate but your maths is shocking. 117k cases in Wales and 3k deaths means ~2.5% of infections result in death.
For every 100 people infected in Wales 97.5% survive.
Sat Dec 19, 2020 10:50 pm
Sat Dec 19, 2020 10:58 pm
pembroke allan wrote:And people said you cant cancel xmas when I asked question a couple of months ago? Well may as well been cancelled it will be me the other half and the cat for xmas dinner !![]()
Bet lots people without presents because last minute shopping is off the agenda.
Sat Dec 19, 2020 11:00 pm
ReesWestonSuperMare wrote:"Your maths is way out mate. Your out by a factor of 100. 0.001% of 70 million would be 700. If only. Your figure should be 0.1%"
3,000,000 people in wales , 3,000 dead. Take the three noughts off the 3,000 and the 3,000,000 that gives 3 deaths per 3,000
Divide that again and it's 1 death per 1,000 - yep your right , 0.1% per infection results in death , so for every 100 people in Wales infected 99.9% survive (so far anyway)
I know if's a different % if you break it down in age groups etc
Sat Dec 19, 2020 11:09 pm
stickywicket wrote:Some great maths on here.
Looks good on paper.
The only figures we need to know is the spare capacity. of acute illness beds.
How many hospital staff are available to staff the beds..
Our hospitals would struggle to cope with a mainline train crash. Yet they are expected to shit wonders during this pandemic
My step daughter is a District nurse.
She is in a team of 3. .2 are off sick.
My step daughter will have to work on a covid recovery ward..
Staff have had enough.
Staff off sick because they are shit scared of getting covid.
Sat Dec 19, 2020 11:10 pm
Bebbsyboy wrote:pembroke allan wrote:And people said you cant cancel xmas when I asked question a couple of months ago? Well may as well been cancelled it will be me the other half and the cat for xmas dinner !![]()
Bet lots people without presents because last minute shopping is off the agenda.
I cancelled Christmas weeks ago
Sat Dec 19, 2020 11:25 pm
pembroke allan wrote:Bebbsyboy wrote:pembroke allan wrote:And people said you cant cancel xmas when I asked question a couple of months ago? Well may as well been cancelled it will be me the other half and the cat for xmas dinner !![]()
Bet lots people without presents because last minute shopping is off the agenda.
I cancelled Christmas weeks ago
Cancelled mine 6months ago re arranged for march but now going to try make it for next xmas! !
Sat Dec 19, 2020 11:33 pm
pembroke allan wrote:Jestrix wrote:pembroke allan wrote:thomasblue wrote:If people actually took this seriously and stopped listening to bollocks on Facebook and being selfish this wouldn't be happening.
Not the government's fault anymore it's the people
One simple answer to the idiots breaking rules put them up in the empty hotels for 10days with army keeping them in isolation! Do that soon stop others taking the piss with parties ect... did similar in Australia with students soon sorted out problem..
But one major concern is why are people who are supposed to be wearing ppe and taking extra precautions in work are catching corvid like the 9 in vaccine centre? Its same with police and health boards across Wales something is not right or people are not practicing what they preach?
It's quite possibly because half of the PPE we're given in hospital isn't worth shit... the masks as shown by the anmount of people wearing them in public aren't worth the effort of putting them on and it also depends on viral load. If your working with C-19+ patients for 12 hrs a day then your viral load is obviously alot higher than those who are working from home or are in a job with minimal contact or social distancing is more easy to follow.
There are few masks if any in nhs that dont meet requirements after all they binned £155m worth because never met standards? Or you saying that nhs staff just put on any old mask as dont care if catch covid or not? And talking about pe who work in a walk in clinic not itu
Sat Dec 19, 2020 11:36 pm
Bebbsyboy wrote:pembroke allan wrote:Bebbsyboy wrote:pembroke allan wrote:And people said you cant cancel xmas when I asked question a couple of months ago? Well may as well been cancelled it will be me the other half and the cat for xmas dinner !![]()
Bet lots people without presents because last minute shopping is off the agenda.
I cancelled Christmas weeks ago
Cancelled mine 6months ago re arranged for march but now going to try make it for next xmas! !
Was hoping on seeing my daughter and grandkids in London but now don’t know when
Sat Dec 19, 2020 11:40 pm
Jestrix wrote:pembroke allan wrote:Jestrix wrote:pembroke allan wrote:thomasblue wrote:If people actually took this seriously and stopped listening to bollocks on Facebook and being selfish this wouldn't be happening.
Not the government's fault anymore it's the people
One simple answer to the idiots breaking rules put them up in the empty hotels for 10days with army keeping them in isolation! Do that soon stop others taking the piss with parties ect... did similar in Australia with students soon sorted out problem..
But one major concern is why are people who are supposed to be wearing ppe and taking extra precautions in work are catching corvid like the 9 in vaccine centre? Its same with police and health boards across Wales something is not right or people are not practicing what they preach?
It's quite possibly because half of the PPE we're given in hospital isn't worth shit... the masks as shown by the anmount of people wearing them in public aren't worth the effort of putting them on and it also depends on viral load. If your working with C-19+ patients for 12 hrs a day then your viral load is obviously alot higher than those who are working from home or are in a job with minimal contact or social distancing is more easy to follow.
There are few masks if any in nhs that dont meet requirements after all they binned £155m worth because never met standards? Or you saying that nhs staff just put on any old mask as dont care if catch covid or not? And talking about pe who work in a walk in clinic not itu
Unfortunately we do have to wear aby old shit they can get their hands on for the most part, the standard paper ones you see being sold in supermarkets for silly money. The 'Fit' masks such as you see in ITU are saved for AGPs only because of the costs of the filters. Both my partner an myself work in different hospitals using the same shitty PPE we've been given all the way through and she's just contracted covid for the second time despite being vigilant and using what's provided. I can't speak for the testing centre as my ward wasn't deemed high enough on the list to get vaccinated in the first round of vaccines but I do wonder the logic of not vaccinating those staff first.
Sun Dec 20, 2020 12:08 am
pembroke allan wrote:Jestrix wrote:pembroke allan wrote:Jestrix wrote:pembroke allan wrote:thomasblue wrote:If people actually took this seriously and stopped listening to bollocks on Facebook and being selfish this wouldn't be happening.
Not the government's fault anymore it's the people
One simple answer to the idiots breaking rules put them up in the empty hotels for 10days with army keeping them in isolation! Do that soon stop others taking the piss with parties ect... did similar in Australia with students soon sorted out problem..
But one major concern is why are people who are supposed to be wearing ppe and taking extra precautions in work are catching corvid like the 9 in vaccine centre? Its same with police and health boards across Wales something is not right or people are not practicing what they preach?
It's quite possibly because half of the PPE we're given in hospital isn't worth shit... the masks as shown by the anmount of people wearing them in public aren't worth the effort of putting them on and it also depends on viral load. If your working with C-19+ patients for 12 hrs a day then your viral load is obviously alot higher than those who are working from home or are in a job with minimal contact or social distancing is more easy to follow.
There are few masks if any in nhs that dont meet requirements after all they binned £155m worth because never met standards? Or you saying that nhs staff just put on any old mask as dont care if catch covid or not? And talking about pe who work in a walk in clinic not itu
Unfortunately we do have to wear aby old shit they can get their hands on for the most part, the standard paper ones you see being sold in supermarkets for silly money. The 'Fit' masks such as you see in ITU are saved for AGPs only because of the costs of the filters. Both my partner an myself work in different hospitals using the same shitty PPE we've been given all the way through and she's just contracted covid for the second time despite being vigilant and using what's provided. I can't speak for the testing centre as my ward wasn't deemed high enough on the list to get vaccinated in the first round of vaccines but I do wonder the logic of not vaccinating those staff first.
I volunteer with ambulance service and have daily contact with extremely
vulnerable patients often a physical contact and yet we are not classed as frontline even though we have direct contact with untested people and hospital staff! Yet I know of lots of people who dont have physical contact with people are having the jab?
Sun Dec 20, 2020 12:13 am
Sun Dec 20, 2020 12:35 am
thomasblue wrote:Serious question
Everybody is abusing the government for there handling of this situation but not a single country in the world has beaten this virus no matter what they try .
What is it that the government should be doing ?
Lockdown - people won't comply
Ignore it - spirals out of control
Fire breaks - people go bankrupt
If the public do not comply with simple rules we have absolutely no chance of getting rid of this virus. Personally I think it will take a world wide lockdown with mo travelling whatsoever for probably 2 months to get rid of it
They are trying to beat it and dont want to lockdown but what choice do they have in reality
Sun Dec 20, 2020 1:42 am
TopCat CCFC wrote:Well Well Well - Where do we start with this !!! Worked a 12 hour shift today and took time out to watch Boris - Then ....
Breaking WALES On a Lockdown or whatever you want to call it from Midnight - Now![]()
Timelines - That's what I follow - So why on Monday 1 in 5 tested gets tested positive in Wales - Nothing done ?
Now this Clueless Clown - told us all the plan - On Wednesday 3 days later it changes - The facts were there Monday.
Or they had them to hand before that - Take a look at the Covid Update Thread - It's ALL ON THERE![]()
People now going to panic - shopping - xmas - work - and the main 1 for me New Year ( Love to party This Country)
Not got a clue any of them - Blind leading the Blind - Sadly
Sun Dec 20, 2020 1:51 am
Jestrix wrote:pembroke allan wrote:Jestrix wrote:pembroke allan wrote:Jestrix wrote:pembroke allan wrote:thomasblue wrote:If people actually took this seriously and stopped listening to bollocks on Facebook and being selfish this wouldn't be happening.
Not the government's fault anymore it's the people
One simple answer to the idiots breaking rules put them up in the empty hotels for 10days with army keeping them in isolation! Do that soon stop others taking the piss with parties ect... did similar in Australia with students soon sorted out problem..
But one major concern is why are people who are supposed to be wearing ppe and taking extra precautions in work are catching corvid like the 9 in vaccine centre? Its same with police and health boards across Wales something is not right or people are not practicing what they preach?
It's quite possibly because half of the PPE we're given in hospital isn't worth shit... the masks as shown by the anmount of people wearing them in public aren't worth the effort of putting them on and it also depends on viral load. If your working with C-19+ patients for 12 hrs a day then your viral load is obviously alot higher than those who are working from home or are in a job with minimal contact or social distancing is more easy to follow.
There are few masks if any in nhs that dont meet requirements after all they binned £155m worth because never met standards? Or you saying that nhs staff just put on any old mask as dont care if catch covid or not? And talking about pe who work in a walk in clinic not itu
Unfortunately we do have to wear aby old shit they can get their hands on for the most part, the standard paper ones you see being sold in supermarkets for silly money. The 'Fit' masks such as you see in ITU are saved for AGPs only because of the costs of the filters. Both my partner an myself work in different hospitals using the same shitty PPE we've been given all the way through and she's just contracted covid for the second time despite being vigilant and using what's provided. I can't speak for the testing centre as my ward wasn't deemed high enough on the list to get vaccinated in the first round of vaccines but I do wonder the logic of not vaccinating those staff first.
I volunteer with ambulance service and have daily contact with extremely
vulnerable patients often a physical contact and yet we are not classed as frontline even though we have direct contact with untested people and hospital staff! Yet I know of lots of people who dont have physical contact with people are having the jab?
I'm with C&V, they decided to divvy up the vaccinations based on contact so A&E, MAU etc first, covid wards as well and then it was going to be assessed when more vaccines came in. I'm unsure how it's working elsewhere but I do know that the number was leaked by certain areas meaning some staff booked their vac without being instructed to (I probably would of done the same in their position in fairness) meaning some people who either are jn 'green zones' or have zero contact ended up with jabs before other more frontline staff such as yourself.
Sun Dec 20, 2020 1:55 am
Sun Dec 20, 2020 1:58 am
blue lagoon wrote:Im afraid its all lost now . People just dont care or don't know what to believe anymore? So much fake news out there now.
Materialistic world we live in makes the lockdown adjustment so hard for people. People can not adjust to lockdown and make sacrifices, some have got genuine excuses. Mental health , physical abuse in the home are also a big worry.
Others are just selfish people who think they know so much more than the science people. Our freedoms and western way of life are our weaknesses to the spread of it.
People slag the nanny state yet people call on gov to be one. Surely we know right from wrong??
What a fu..... mess, Queens speech needs to be good one cause the British stiff upper lip is gone.
Sun Dec 20, 2020 9:36 am
pembroke allan wrote:Jestrix wrote:pembroke allan wrote:Jestrix wrote:pembroke allan wrote:Jestrix wrote:pembroke allan wrote:thomasblue wrote:If people actually took this seriously and stopped listening to bollocks on Facebook and being selfish this wouldn't be happening.
Not the government's fault anymore it's the people
One simple answer to the idiots breaking rules put them up in the empty hotels for 10days with army keeping them in isolation! Do that soon stop others taking the piss with parties ect... did similar in Australia with students soon sorted out problem..
But one major concern is why are people who are supposed to be wearing ppe and taking extra precautions in work are catching corvid like the 9 in vaccine centre? Its same with police and health boards across Wales something is not right or people are not practicing what they preach?
It's quite possibly because half of the PPE we're given in hospital isn't worth shit... the masks as shown by the anmount of people wearing them in public aren't worth the effort of putting them on and it also depends on viral load. If your working with C-19+ patients for 12 hrs a day then your viral load is obviously alot higher than those who are working from home or are in a job with minimal contact or social distancing is more easy to follow.
There are few masks if any in nhs that dont meet requirements after all they binned £155m worth because never met standards? Or you saying that nhs staff just put on any old mask as dont care if catch covid or not? And talking about pe who work in a walk in clinic not itu
Unfortunately we do have to wear aby old shit they can get their hands on for the most part, the standard paper ones you see being sold in supermarkets for silly money. The 'Fit' masks such as you see in ITU are saved for AGPs only because of the costs of the filters. Both my partner an myself work in different hospitals using the same shitty PPE we've been given all the way through and she's just contracted covid for the second time despite being vigilant and using what's provided. I can't speak for the testing centre as my ward wasn't deemed high enough on the list to get vaccinated in the first round of vaccines but I do wonder the logic of not vaccinating those staff first.
I volunteer with ambulance service and have daily contact with extremely
vulnerable patients often a physical contact and yet we are not classed as frontline even though we have direct contact with untested people and hospital staff! Yet I know of lots of people who dont have physical contact with people are having the jab?
I'm with C&V, they decided to divvy up the vaccinations based on contact so A&E, MAU etc first, covid wards as well and then it was going to be assessed when more vaccines came in. I'm unsure how it's working elsewhere but I do know that the number was leaked by certain areas meaning some staff booked their vac without being instructed to (I probably would of done the same in their position in fairness) meaning some people who either are jn 'green zones' or have zero contact ended up with jabs before other more frontline staff such as yourself.
Also hewell dda was supposed to have priority lists for front line staff but the list left out actual covid ward staff .. result was people where passing on the nessasary info to anyone in the trust so that by time realised their balls up too late all vaccine was booked up..... I generally know about things that happen here (contacts ect) but I cannot find anyone who knows where the vaccine as officially been given in pembrokeshire...... In carmarthen and ceridigion yes but not here..... off to Morriston Monday will see if any news on us getting vaccine but wont hold breath that we are going to get it anytime soon!
Sun Dec 20, 2020 11:02 am
Jestrix wrote:pembroke allan wrote:Jestrix wrote:pembroke allan wrote:Jestrix wrote:pembroke allan wrote:Jestrix wrote:pembroke allan wrote:thomasblue wrote:If people actually took this seriously and stopped listening to bollocks on Facebook and being selfish this wouldn't be happening.
Not the government's fault anymore it's the people
One simple answer to the idiots breaking rules put them up in the empty hotels for 10days with army keeping them in isolation! Do that soon stop others taking the piss with parties ect... did similar in Australia with students soon sorted out problem..
But one major concern is why are people who are supposed to be wearing ppe and taking extra precautions in work are catching corvid like the 9 in vaccine centre? Its same with police and health boards across Wales something is not right or people are not practicing what they preach?
It's quite possibly because half of the PPE we're given in hospital isn't worth shit... the masks as shown by the anmount of people wearing them in public aren't worth the effort of putting them on and it also depends on viral load. If your working with C-19+ patients for 12 hrs a day then your viral load is obviously alot higher than those who are working from home or are in a job with minimal contact or social distancing is more easy to follow.
There are few masks if any in nhs that dont meet requirements after all they binned £155m worth because never met standards? Or you saying that nhs staff just put on any old mask as dont care if catch covid or not? And talking about pe who work in a walk in clinic not itu
Unfortunately we do have to wear aby old shit they can get their hands on for the most part, the standard paper ones you see being sold in supermarkets for silly money. The 'Fit' masks such as you see in ITU are saved for AGPs only because of the costs of the filters. Both my partner an myself work in different hospitals using the same shitty PPE we've been given all the way through and she's just contracted covid for the second time despite being vigilant and using what's provided. I can't speak for the testing centre as my ward wasn't deemed high enough on the list to get vaccinated in the first round of vaccines but I do wonder the logic of not vaccinating those staff first.
I volunteer with ambulance service and have daily contact with extremely
vulnerable patients often a physical contact and yet we are not classed as frontline even though we have direct contact with untested people and hospital staff! Yet I know of lots of people who dont have physical contact with people are having the jab?
I'm with C&V, they decided to divvy up the vaccinations based on contact so A&E, MAU etc first, covid wards as well and then it was going to be assessed when more vaccines came in. I'm unsure how it's working elsewhere but I do know that the number was leaked by certain areas meaning some staff booked their vac without being instructed to (I probably would of done the same in their position in fairness) meaning some people who either are jn 'green zones' or have zero contact ended up with jabs before other more frontline staff such as yourself.
Also hewell dda was supposed to have priority lists for front line staff but the list left out actual covid ward staff .. result was people where passing on the nessasary info to anyone in the trust so that by time realised their balls up too late all vaccine was booked up..... I generally know about things that happen here (contacts ect) but I cannot find anyone who knows where the vaccine as officially been given in pembrokeshire...... In carmarthen and ceridigion yes but not here..... off to Morriston Monday will see if any news on us getting vaccine but wont hold breath that we are going to get it anytime soon!
It's a sad state of affairs... understandable that everyone wants to get it done to feel safe but also sad that noone thinks about the ones which are more likely to need it first! Fingers crossed your able to get one sorted sooner rather than later though!
Sun Dec 20, 2020 11:12 am
Sun Dec 20, 2020 11:28 am
ReesWestonSuperMare wrote:"Your maths is way out mate. Your out by a factor of 100. 0.001% of 70 million would be 700. If only. Your figure should be 0.1%"
3,000,000 people in wales , 3,000 dead. Take the three noughts off the 3,000 and the 3,000,000 that gives 3 deaths per 3,000
Divide that again and it's 1 death per 1,000 - yep your right , 0.1% per infection results in death , so for every 100 people in Wales infected 99.9% survive (so far anyway)
I know if's a different % if you break it down in age groups etc
Sun Dec 20, 2020 11:37 am
CCFCJosh75 wrote:ReesWestonSuperMare wrote:"Your maths is way out mate. Your out by a factor of 100. 0.001% of 70 million would be 700. If only. Your figure should be 0.1%"
3,000,000 people in wales , 3,000 dead. Take the three noughts off the 3,000 and the 3,000,000 that gives 3 deaths per 3,000
Divide that again and it's 1 death per 1,000 - yep your right , 0.1% per infection results in death , so for every 100 people in Wales infected 99.9% survive (so far anyway)
I know if's a different % if you break it down in age groups etc
'so for every 100 people in Wales infected 99.9% survive'. But you're using the entire population of Wales in that so you'd have to think that every person in Wales has had it.
Using data from coronavirus.cymru there's has been 120,432 cases and 3046 deaths. That gives a case mortality rate of 2.5% and then a confirmed survival rate of 97.5%.
2019 Wales population was 3, 152,900 so if everyone had corona virus and it maintained the 2.5% case mortality then 78,823 people should have die.
Sun Dec 20, 2020 11:58 am
northside of risca wrote:CCFCJosh75 wrote:ReesWestonSuperMare wrote:"Your maths is way out mate. Your out by a factor of 100. 0.001% of 70 million would be 700. If only. Your figure should be 0.1%"
3,000,000 people in wales , 3,000 dead. Take the three noughts off the 3,000 and the 3,000,000 that gives 3 deaths per 3,000
Divide that again and it's 1 death per 1,000 - yep your right , 0.1% per infection results in death , so for every 100 people in Wales infected 99.9% survive (so far anyway)
I know if's a different % if you break it down in age groups etc
'so for every 100 people in Wales infected 99.9% survive'. But you're using the entire population of Wales in that so you'd have to think that every person in Wales has had it.
Using data from coronavirus.cymru there's has been 120,432 cases and 3046 deaths. That gives a case mortality rate of 2.5% and then a confirmed survival rate of 97.5%.
2019 Wales population was 3, 152,900 so if everyone had corona virus and it maintained the 2.5% case mortality then 78,823 people should have die.
The death count numbers stink though, anyone who’s had an underlying illness and dies with C19 ( or detected in the blood in the previous month ) gets COVID on the certificate . Hypothetically if it entire nation got it the death rate would be a fraction of the 2.5%. Don’t ask me what the ‘right’ number is though .