Mon Jan 18, 2021 9:01 pm
Mon Jan 18, 2021 9:03 pm
welshrarebit wrote:Wales even having close to higher levels than those countries listed are not due to drakeford. They are to do with Boris Johnson and his conservative government who are opening 24 hours in some areas and using football stadiums to mass vaccinate. Some areas of England already have been through their over 80s. We aren’t. And we are rationing what we already have. The rationing is entirely down to the Welsh administration not Westminster.
Mon Jan 18, 2021 9:15 pm
Mon Jan 18, 2021 9:17 pm
WestCoastBlue wrote:welshrarebit wrote:Wales even having close to higher levels than those countries listed are not due to drakeford. They are to do with Boris Johnson and his conservative government who are opening 24 hours in some areas and using football stadiums to mass vaccinate. Some areas of England already have been through their over 80s. We aren’t. And we are rationing what we already have. The rationing is entirely down to the Welsh administration not Westminster.
Actually the Welsh numbers are higher than those countries. The UK as whole is doing exceptionally well. England are doing better than us that’s true but Wales and the UK are doing considerably better than most of the rest of the world.
Mon Jan 18, 2021 9:20 pm
welshrarebit wrote:Wales even having close to higher levels than those countries listed are not due to drakeford. They are to do with Boris Johnson and his conservative government who are opening 24 hours in some areas and using football stadiums to mass vaccinate. Some areas of England already have been through their over 80s. We aren’t. And we are rationing what we already have. The rationing is entirely down to the Welsh administration not Westminster.
Mon Jan 18, 2021 9:26 pm
Mon Jan 18, 2021 9:48 pm
Mon Jan 18, 2021 9:59 pm
BlueGog wrote:welshrarebit wrote:Wales even having close to higher levels than those countries listed are not due to drakeford. They are to do with Boris Johnson and his conservative government who are opening 24 hours in some areas and using football stadiums to mass vaccinate. Some areas of England already have been through their over 80s. We aren’t. And we are rationing what we already have. The rationing is entirely down to the Welsh administration not Westminster.
What utter rubbish! The only 'world beating' thing that Johnson has managed is deaths in England.
Mon Jan 18, 2021 10:02 pm
stickywicket wrote:VACCINE UPDATE – week commencing 18th January 2021 Aneurin Bevan Health Board
has now vaccinated a total of 25,877 people.
Residents from 72 of the 95 care homes for older adults within the health board area have been offered the vaccination, with staff in 90% of our older adult care homes being offered the vaccine. We have vaccinated 7,777 80 years and over and 6,500+ frontline health staff.
Last week we saw the opening of vaccination centres in Ebbw Vale and Abergavenny, which means there are now 4 vaccination centres open across the five boroughs. A vaccination centre will open on Monday this week in Newport which will be open 7 days a week, dependent on vaccine supply. All of our vaccination centres are appointment only and people will be contacted if they are being called for their appointment.
This week we have a planned vaccine supply of 24,000. 72 GP Practices across the Health Board area will start vaccinating those 80 years and over. By the end of this week we will have opened 5 vaccination centres, one in each borough.
Please remember that we are following the Joint Committee of Vaccination and Immunisation (JCVI) priority groups and have plans in place to vaccinate the top two priority groups in the first instance:
1. Residents in a Care Home for older adults and their carers
2. Aged 80 years and older, plus frontline Health and Social Care workers
From this week, those that fall within the third priority group; 3. All those aged 75 years and over, will start to receive invite letters for their vaccine. Please be assured that if you are aged 80 and over, and haven’t yet received an invite for your vaccine, you will be invited over the next couple of weeks.
If you receive an appointment, please do everything you can to attend as we are vaccinating thousands of people every week. Vaccine supplies are limited, the supply of the frozen vaccine, Pfizer is more certain but we can only offer that in our larger vaccination centres at the moment. By offering the vaccine through GP practices and across our Health Board area we are doing our utmost to reduce travel time and we appreciate everyone attending their appointment.
We continue to develop our booking centre process and call centre and plan to increase capacity as supplies increase. This means we can improve the service we offer as we have noticed the lines can get very busy at times.
We will continue to keep you updated, however due to a number of variable factors, such as the supply of vaccine, allocated plans can change at short notice.
Mon Jan 18, 2021 10:37 pm
WestCoastBlue wrote:oohahhPaulMillar wrote:WestCoastBlue wrote:pembroke allan wrote:skidemin wrote:WestCoastBlue wrote:He worded it poorly but there is absolutely an argument for going slow and steady. I’m not fully clued up on the logistics but there is one guarantee. If we use up our entire vaccine supplies then the vaccinating nurses and doctors are going to go and book shifts back on the wards or GPs or surgeries or hospitals etc. These people don’t have the luxury to be sitting around for weeks without income. Then the new vaccine comes in and suddenly there is a massive lack of staff and due to how their work operates they're booked out for the next two weeks.
Wales has currently administered 160k of our 270k supply with no more doses expected until the start of Feb.
The issue with the Pfizer vaccine is it has quite particular storage requirements and when the next batch comes in a certain amount of workers will be needed to administer it. Accelerating the process now can cause issues in the future if when the next batch comes in there’s an inadequate number of staff available to administer the vaccines. Currently we might be able to vaccinate quicker than the targets set out and get all 270k doses given out a week early but when the next batch comes in an understaffed vaccination centre might only be able to administer 850 of the 1000 jabs they receive whereas if we administer 270k by the time of the target date and the next day another shipment comes in vaccination centres should be fully staffed and able to vaccinate the full amount.
As I said it’s very poorly worded but it’s not a strategy he’s come up with on a whim. It’s been discussed as a viable option.
no mate..that 110k vaccinations now could save save lives of people who will now die ? all these restrictions and he is running the vaccination role out as if its a time and motion experiment...
He does think it's better for people to potentially die than have people hang around doing nothing! How else can this be interpreted?
From what I understand this current batch equates to just 5.4% of the total vaccines required for Wales’ adult population. Drakeford is talking about slowing the role out of the remaining 110k to avoid complications with the role out at future stages. If the next batch comes in and is significantly larger, which due to increased production and better logistical understanding is likely, then having a reduced workforce could be more damaging than slowing the release of the remainder of this batch.
This isn’t something Drakeford has decided on his lonesome as some seem to think. This will have been discussed amongst dozens of people including experts in the various procedures of the role out. The 2 options aren’t “people die” or “people sitting around doing nothing”, it’s “x number of people could potentially die now” and “y number of people could potentially die later”. Presumably Y came out as the larger number, hence the current strategy. If this has been deemed an effective strategy then so be it.
And that ends the party political broadcast on behalf of the WAG
Where are you getting all this information from??
What your saying may well be true or partly true I really don’t know because part of the problem is that Drakeford and his motley crew are just so bad at communicating any important information to the public
They constantly contradict each other and as for Vaughan Gethin, never known someone go AWOL so much when there are difficult questions to answer. He’s only in his bloody spare bedroom can’t be that difficult to get hold of him for some answers
Which information? The vaccinated numbers and available dose numbers are fairly widely reported online. As for nurses and volunteer health care workers working on 2 week slots, I've got family and friends currently working in the NHS in varying roles. One of which works in a vaccine distribution centre in the Midlands and explained that their system is based around working in a single ward/area for a 2 week period. This is to stop excessive movement between wards.
As for the next batch of vaccines being larger than this one, that is admittedly only an assumption. But I think a sensible one. As more vaccines are approved, as production increases, etc, more will become available. Plus distribution lines have been established and capacity will have increased.
As I said I don't know the full discussions that have been had or ideas that have been proposed but the idea that Drakeford has just woken up this morning and decided this on a whim is ludicrous.
I am by no means an expert in any of the aspects of this vaccine role out but even I can quite easily think of some scenarios were this would be a necessary strategy:
Vaccinate 110k people this week, vaccination staff are told the next shipment doesn't arrive for 2 weeks, instead of being unemployed for 2 weeks they take up other jobs, suddenly it turns out the next shipment is a few days early but there's a reduced workforce to administer it so you have to throw away jabs that have gone off (I think this timeframe is ~3 days from opening the 1000 jab batch).
A trucker company cocks up the new paper work leaving the EU/entering the UK, suddenly all 110k people waiting for their second jab miss it and have essentially wasted jab 1, spreading out the jabs mean maybe only 25k miss the deadline for jab 2.
Similar scenario as previous. Vaccinate 110k people this week, 11 weeks time a truck bound for Wales skids off a road and crashes destroying 10's of thousands of doses, if 110k people are all at the 12 week deadline you need to redistribute jabs from first timers to deal with the reduced supply. If only 25k are at the deadline you have time to divert extra vaccines to replace the lost ones.
I totally agree that the communication of this has been awful but I will accept that much more knowledgeable people than I or anyone on this board will have evaluated every possibility to the extreme and if this is the outcome I accept that decision.
Mon Jan 18, 2021 10:45 pm
pembroke allan wrote:At end of day if he keeps back 20k doses or whatever it is that means 20k people wont have chance to get some sort of immunity from 1st dose.....and how many of those 20k will die or become seriously ill with covid? Only thing staff at centres would get if sat doing nothing is numb arse from sitting down to much.! Not sure nhs staff would object to numb arse if it means more people stopped from being admitted to hospital..
Mon Jan 18, 2021 10:48 pm
Mon Jan 18, 2021 10:49 pm
Mon Jan 18, 2021 10:57 pm
Mon Jan 18, 2021 10:57 pm
Mon Jan 18, 2021 11:09 pm
ion wrote:I started this post ,I can't believe some are defending what drakeford said , come on you know the quicker the vaccine goes in people's arms the more lives you save, going at a slower pace the chances are lives will be lost ,
Mon Jan 18, 2021 11:18 pm
TopCat CCFC wrote:ion wrote:I started this post ,I can't believe some are defending what drakeford said , come on you know the quicker the vaccine goes in people's arms the more lives you save, going at a slower pace the chances are lives will be lost ,
This must be the 1st Thread you have started that I agree 100% with![]()
![]()
Here are 2 examples of how wrong this morning's statement was - As tonight it's U-Turn city again in this country![]()
Point 2 - Boris Johnson's dad ( Stanley ) - Had his 2nd JAB Last week - not 1st but 2nd![]()
As some people in Wales who are in their 80's 90's etc can't even get their 1st Jab
Mon Jan 18, 2021 11:19 pm
oohahhPaulMillar wrote:WestCoastBlue wrote:oohahhPaulMillar wrote:WestCoastBlue wrote:pembroke allan wrote:skidemin wrote:WestCoastBlue wrote:He worded it poorly but there is absolutely an argument for going slow and steady. I’m not fully clued up on the logistics but there is one guarantee. If we use up our entire vaccine supplies then the vaccinating nurses and doctors are going to go and book shifts back on the wards or GPs or surgeries or hospitals etc. These people don’t have the luxury to be sitting around for weeks without income. Then the new vaccine comes in and suddenly there is a massive lack of staff and due to how their work operates they're booked out for the next two weeks.
Wales has currently administered 160k of our 270k supply with no more doses expected until the start of Feb.
The issue with the Pfizer vaccine is it has quite particular storage requirements and when the next batch comes in a certain amount of workers will be needed to administer it. Accelerating the process now can cause issues in the future if when the next batch comes in there’s an inadequate number of staff available to administer the vaccines. Currently we might be able to vaccinate quicker than the targets set out and get all 270k doses given out a week early but when the next batch comes in an understaffed vaccination centre might only be able to administer 850 of the 1000 jabs they receive whereas if we administer 270k by the time of the target date and the next day another shipment comes in vaccination centres should be fully staffed and able to vaccinate the full amount.
As I said it’s very poorly worded but it’s not a strategy he’s come up with on a whim. It’s been discussed as a viable option.
no mate..that 110k vaccinations now could save save lives of people who will now die ? all these restrictions and he is running the vaccination role out as if its a time and motion experiment...
He does think it's better for people to potentially die than have people hang around doing nothing! How else can this be interpreted?
From what I understand this current batch equates to just 5.4% of the total vaccines required for Wales’ adult population. Drakeford is talking about slowing the role out of the remaining 110k to avoid complications with the role out at future stages. If the next batch comes in and is significantly larger, which due to increased production and better logistical understanding is likely, then having a reduced workforce could be more damaging than slowing the release of the remainder of this batch.
This isn’t something Drakeford has decided on his lonesome as some seem to think. This will have been discussed amongst dozens of people including experts in the various procedures of the role out. The 2 options aren’t “people die” or “people sitting around doing nothing”, it’s “x number of people could potentially die now” and “y number of people could potentially die later”. Presumably Y came out as the larger number, hence the current strategy. If this has been deemed an effective strategy then so be it.
And that ends the party political broadcast on behalf of the WAG
Where are you getting all this information from??
What your saying may well be true or partly true I really don’t know because part of the problem is that Drakeford and his motley crew are just so bad at communicating any important information to the public
They constantly contradict each other and as for Vaughan Gethin, never known someone go AWOL so much when there are difficult questions to answer. He’s only in his bloody spare bedroom can’t be that difficult to get hold of him for some answers
Which information? The vaccinated numbers and available dose numbers are fairly widely reported online. As for nurses and volunteer health care workers working on 2 week slots, I've got family and friends currently working in the NHS in varying roles. One of which works in a vaccine distribution centre in the Midlands and explained that their system is based around working in a single ward/area for a 2 week period. This is to stop excessive movement between wards.
As for the next batch of vaccines being larger than this one, that is admittedly only an assumption. But I think a sensible one. As more vaccines are approved, as production increases, etc, more will become available. Plus distribution lines have been established and capacity will have increased.
As I said I don't know the full discussions that have been had or ideas that have been proposed but the idea that Drakeford has just woken up this morning and decided this on a whim is ludicrous.
I am by no means an expert in any of the aspects of this vaccine role out but even I can quite easily think of some scenarios were this would be a necessary strategy:
Vaccinate 110k people this week, vaccination staff are told the next shipment doesn't arrive for 2 weeks, instead of being unemployed for 2 weeks they take up other jobs, suddenly it turns out the next shipment is a few days early but there's a reduced workforce to administer it so you have to throw away jabs that have gone off (I think this timeframe is ~3 days from opening the 1000 jab batch).
A trucker company cocks up the new paper work leaving the EU/entering the UK, suddenly all 110k people waiting for their second jab miss it and have essentially wasted jab 1, spreading out the jabs mean maybe only 25k miss the deadline for jab 2.
Similar scenario as previous. Vaccinate 110k people this week, 11 weeks time a truck bound for Wales skids off a road and crashes destroying 10's of thousands of doses, if 110k people are all at the 12 week deadline you need to redistribute jabs from first timers to deal with the reduced supply. If only 25k are at the deadline you have time to divert extra vaccines to replace the lost ones.
I totally agree that the communication of this has been awful but I will accept that much more knowledgeable people than I or anyone on this board will have evaluated every possibility to the extreme and if this is the outcome I accept that decision.
Are you some sort of lunatic?? Let’s not vaccinate as many people as possible in case a lorry carrying the vaccine crashes!!!
Mon Jan 18, 2021 11:33 pm
WestCoastBlue wrote:oohahhPaulMillar wrote:WestCoastBlue wrote:oohahhPaulMillar wrote:WestCoastBlue wrote:pembroke allan wrote:skidemin wrote:WestCoastBlue wrote:He worded it poorly but there is absolutely an argument for going slow and steady. I’m not fully clued up on the logistics but there is one guarantee. If we use up our entire vaccine supplies then the vaccinating nurses and doctors are going to go and book shifts back on the wards or GPs or surgeries or hospitals etc. These people don’t have the luxury to be sitting around for weeks without income. Then the new vaccine comes in and suddenly there is a massive lack of staff and due to how their work operates they're booked out for the next two weeks.
Wales has currently administered 160k of our 270k supply with no more doses expected until the start of Feb.
The issue with the Pfizer vaccine is it has quite particular storage requirements and when the next batch comes in a certain amount of workers will be needed to administer it. Accelerating the process now can cause issues in the future if when the next batch comes in there’s an inadequate number of staff available to administer the vaccines. Currently we might be able to vaccinate quicker than the targets set out and get all 270k doses given out a week early but when the next batch comes in an understaffed vaccination centre might only be able to administer 850 of the 1000 jabs they receive whereas if we administer 270k by the time of the target date and the next day another shipment comes in vaccination centres should be fully staffed and able to vaccinate the full amount.
As I said it’s very poorly worded but it’s not a strategy he’s come up with on a whim. It’s been discussed as a viable option.
no mate..that 110k vaccinations now could save save lives of people who will now die ? all these restrictions and he is running the vaccination role out as if its a time and motion experiment...
He does think it's better for people to potentially die than have people hang around doing nothing! How else can this be interpreted?
From what I understand this current batch equates to just 5.4% of the total vaccines required for Wales’ adult population. Drakeford is talking about slowing the role out of the remaining 110k to avoid complications with the role out at future stages. If the next batch comes in and is significantly larger, which due to increased production and better logistical understanding is likely, then having a reduced workforce could be more damaging than slowing the release of the remainder of this batch.
This isn’t something Drakeford has decided on his lonesome as some seem to think. This will have been discussed amongst dozens of people including experts in the various procedures of the role out. The 2 options aren’t “people die” or “people sitting around doing nothing”, it’s “x number of people could potentially die now” and “y number of people could potentially die later”. Presumably Y came out as the larger number, hence the current strategy. If this has been deemed an effective strategy then so be it.
And that ends the party political broadcast on behalf of the WAG
Where are you getting all this information from??
What your saying may well be true or partly true I really don’t know because part of the problem is that Drakeford and his motley crew are just so bad at communicating any important information to the public
They constantly contradict each other and as for Vaughan Gethin, never known someone go AWOL so much when there are difficult questions to answer. He’s only in his bloody spare bedroom can’t be that difficult to get hold of him for some answers
Which information? The vaccinated numbers and available dose numbers are fairly widely reported online. As for nurses and volunteer health care workers working on 2 week slots, I've got family and friends currently working in the NHS in varying roles. One of which works in a vaccine distribution centre in the Midlands and explained that their system is based around working in a single ward/area for a 2 week period. This is to stop excessive movement between wards.
As for the next batch of vaccines being larger than this one, that is admittedly only an assumption. But I think a sensible one. As more vaccines are approved, as production increases, etc, more will become available. Plus distribution lines have been established and capacity will have increased.
As I said I don't know the full discussions that have been had or ideas that have been proposed but the idea that Drakeford has just woken up this morning and decided this on a whim is ludicrous.
I am by no means an expert in any of the aspects of this vaccine role out but even I can quite easily think of some scenarios were this would be a necessary strategy:
Vaccinate 110k people this week, vaccination staff are told the next shipment doesn't arrive for 2 weeks, instead of being unemployed for 2 weeks they take up other jobs, suddenly it turns out the next shipment is a few days early but there's a reduced workforce to administer it so you have to throw away jabs that have gone off (I think this timeframe is ~3 days from opening the 1000 jab batch).
A trucker company cocks up the new paper work leaving the EU/entering the UK, suddenly all 110k people waiting for their second jab miss it and have essentially wasted jab 1, spreading out the jabs mean maybe only 25k miss the deadline for jab 2.
Similar scenario as previous. Vaccinate 110k people this week, 11 weeks time a truck bound for Wales skids off a road and crashes destroying 10's of thousands of doses, if 110k people are all at the 12 week deadline you need to redistribute jabs from first timers to deal with the reduced supply. If only 25k are at the deadline you have time to divert extra vaccines to replace the lost ones.
I totally agree that the communication of this has been awful but I will accept that much more knowledgeable people than I or anyone on this board will have evaluated every possibility to the extreme and if this is the outcome I accept that decision.
Are you some sort of lunatic?? Let’s not vaccinate as many people as possible in case a lorry carrying the vaccine crashes!!!
A massive oversimplification of my post. Much smarter people than me and people much more knowledgeable in this subject have come together and decided the most viable strategy is this one. I’m merely guessing what some uncontrollable variables might be that have led them to this decision. I could be completely wrong but no doubt there are contingency plans in place in the event that such unforeseen circumstances could occur. Admittedly maybe a truck crashing is too dramatic but there are numerous ways the supply chain and distribution could be affected.
Mon Jan 18, 2021 11:43 pm
welshrarebit wrote:WestCoastBlue wrote:oohahhPaulMillar wrote:WestCoastBlue wrote:oohahhPaulMillar wrote:WestCoastBlue wrote:pembroke allan wrote:skidemin wrote:WestCoastBlue wrote:He worded it poorly but there is absolutely an argument for going slow and steady. I’m not fully clued up on the logistics but there is one guarantee. If we use up our entire vaccine supplies then the vaccinating nurses and doctors are going to go and book shifts back on the wards or GPs or surgeries or hospitals etc. These people don’t have the luxury to be sitting around for weeks without income. Then the new vaccine comes in and suddenly there is a massive lack of staff and due to how their work operates they're booked out for the next two weeks.
Wales has currently administered 160k of our 270k supply with no more doses expected until the start of Feb.
The issue with the Pfizer vaccine is it has quite particular storage requirements and when the next batch comes in a certain amount of workers will be needed to administer it. Accelerating the process now can cause issues in the future if when the next batch comes in there’s an inadequate number of staff available to administer the vaccines. Currently we might be able to vaccinate quicker than the targets set out and get all 270k doses given out a week early but when the next batch comes in an understaffed vaccination centre might only be able to administer 850 of the 1000 jabs they receive whereas if we administer 270k by the time of the target date and the next day another shipment comes in vaccination centres should be fully staffed and able to vaccinate the full amount.
As I said it’s very poorly worded but it’s not a strategy he’s come up with on a whim. It’s been discussed as a viable option.
no mate..that 110k vaccinations now could save save lives of people who will now die ? all these restrictions and he is running the vaccination role out as if its a time and motion experiment...
He does think it's better for people to potentially die than have people hang around doing nothing! How else can this be interpreted?
From what I understand this current batch equates to just 5.4% of the total vaccines required for Wales’ adult population. Drakeford is talking about slowing the role out of the remaining 110k to avoid complications with the role out at future stages. If the next batch comes in and is significantly larger, which due to increased production and better logistical understanding is likely, then having a reduced workforce could be more damaging than slowing the release of the remainder of this batch.
This isn’t something Drakeford has decided on his lonesome as some seem to think. This will have been discussed amongst dozens of people including experts in the various procedures of the role out. The 2 options aren’t “people die” or “people sitting around doing nothing”, it’s “x number of people could potentially die now” and “y number of people could potentially die later”. Presumably Y came out as the larger number, hence the current strategy. If this has been deemed an effective strategy then so be it.
And that ends the party political broadcast on behalf of the WAG
Where are you getting all this information from??
What your saying may well be true or partly true I really don’t know because part of the problem is that Drakeford and his motley crew are just so bad at communicating any important information to the public
They constantly contradict each other and as for Vaughan Gethin, never known someone go AWOL so much when there are difficult questions to answer. He’s only in his bloody spare bedroom can’t be that difficult to get hold of him for some answers
Which information? The vaccinated numbers and available dose numbers are fairly widely reported online. As for nurses and volunteer health care workers working on 2 week slots, I've got family and friends currently working in the NHS in varying roles. One of which works in a vaccine distribution centre in the Midlands and explained that their system is based around working in a single ward/area for a 2 week period. This is to stop excessive movement between wards.
As for the next batch of vaccines being larger than this one, that is admittedly only an assumption. But I think a sensible one. As more vaccines are approved, as production increases, etc, more will become available. Plus distribution lines have been established and capacity will have increased.
As I said I don't know the full discussions that have been had or ideas that have been proposed but the idea that Drakeford has just woken up this morning and decided this on a whim is ludicrous.
I am by no means an expert in any of the aspects of this vaccine role out but even I can quite easily think of some scenarios were this would be a necessary strategy:
Vaccinate 110k people this week, vaccination staff are told the next shipment doesn't arrive for 2 weeks, instead of being unemployed for 2 weeks they take up other jobs, suddenly it turns out the next shipment is a few days early but there's a reduced workforce to administer it so you have to throw away jabs that have gone off (I think this timeframe is ~3 days from opening the 1000 jab batch).
A trucker company cocks up the new paper work leaving the EU/entering the UK, suddenly all 110k people waiting for their second jab miss it and have essentially wasted jab 1, spreading out the jabs mean maybe only 25k miss the deadline for jab 2.
Similar scenario as previous. Vaccinate 110k people this week, 11 weeks time a truck bound for Wales skids off a road and crashes destroying 10's of thousands of doses, if 110k people are all at the 12 week deadline you need to redistribute jabs from first timers to deal with the reduced supply. If only 25k are at the deadline you have time to divert extra vaccines to replace the lost ones.
I totally agree that the communication of this has been awful but I will accept that much more knowledgeable people than I or anyone on this board will have evaluated every possibility to the extreme and if this is the outcome I accept that decision.
Are you some sort of lunatic?? Let’s not vaccinate as many people as possible in case a lorry carrying the vaccine crashes!!!
A massive oversimplification of my post. Much smarter people than me and people much more knowledgeable in this subject have come together and decided the most viable strategy is this one. I’m merely guessing what some uncontrollable variables might be that have led them to this decision. I could be completely wrong but no doubt there are contingency plans in place in the event that such unforeseen circumstances could occur. Admittedly maybe a truck crashing is too dramatic but there are numerous ways the supply chain and distribution could be affected.
To that one has to ask - why are we different to England, Northern Ireland and Scotland? If our policy is so good why are we the only ones doing it?
Presumably it is public health advising on this so why are the Welsh public health, with access to the same information as the others, taking this line in direct opposition to everyone else. Why is Mark Drakeford saying this is not a race? It takes approximately 21 days to develop an immune response to the vaccine. The sooner people have it the sooner we can get them up to speed with Anti bodies and T Cells.
Mon Jan 18, 2021 11:49 pm
Tue Jan 19, 2021 12:18 am
Tue Jan 19, 2021 12:35 am
WestCoastBlue wrote:welshrarebit wrote:WestCoastBlue wrote:oohahhPaulMillar wrote:WestCoastBlue wrote:oohahhPaulMillar wrote:WestCoastBlue wrote:pembroke allan wrote:skidemin wrote:WestCoastBlue wrote:He worded it poorly but there is absolutely an argument for going slow and steady. I’m not fully clued up on the logistics but there is one guarantee. If we use up our entire vaccine supplies then the vaccinating nurses and doctors are going to go and book shifts back on the wards or GPs or surgeries or hospitals etc. These people don’t have the luxury to be sitting around for weeks without income. Then the new vaccine comes in and suddenly there is a massive lack of staff and due to how their work operates they're booked out for the next two weeks.
Wales has currently administered 160k of our 270k supply with no more doses expected until the start of Feb.
The issue with the Pfizer vaccine is it has quite particular storage requirements and when the next batch comes in a certain amount of workers will be needed to administer it. Accelerating the process now can cause issues in the future if when the next batch comes in there’s an inadequate number of staff available to administer the vaccines. Currently we might be able to vaccinate quicker than the targets set out and get all 270k doses given out a week early but when the next batch comes in an understaffed vaccination centre might only be able to administer 850 of the 1000 jabs they receive whereas if we administer 270k by the time of the target date and the next day another shipment comes in vaccination centres should be fully staffed and able to vaccinate the full amount.
As I said it’s very poorly worded but it’s not a strategy he’s come up with on a whim. It’s been discussed as a viable option.
no mate..that 110k vaccinations now could save save lives of people who will now die ? all these restrictions and he is running the vaccination role out as if its a time and motion experiment...
He does think it's better for people to potentially die than have people hang around doing nothing! How else can this be interpreted?
From what I understand this current batch equates to just 5.4% of the total vaccines required for Wales’ adult population. Drakeford is talking about slowing the role out of the remaining 110k to avoid complications with the role out at future stages. If the next batch comes in and is significantly larger, which due to increased production and better logistical understanding is likely, then having a reduced workforce could be more damaging than slowing the release of the remainder of this batch.
This isn’t something Drakeford has decided on his lonesome as some seem to think. This will have been discussed amongst dozens of people including experts in the various procedures of the role out. The 2 options aren’t “people die” or “people sitting around doing nothing”, it’s “x number of people could potentially die now” and “y number of people could potentially die later”. Presumably Y came out as the larger number, hence the current strategy. If this has been deemed an effective strategy then so be it.
And that ends the party political broadcast on behalf of the WAG
Where are you getting all this information from??
What your saying may well be true or partly true I really don’t know because part of the problem is that Drakeford and his motley crew are just so bad at communicating any important information to the public
They constantly contradict each other and as for Vaughan Gethin, never known someone go AWOL so much when there are difficult questions to answer. He’s only in his bloody spare bedroom can’t be that difficult to get hold of him for some answers
Which information? The vaccinated numbers and available dose numbers are fairly widely reported online. As for nurses and volunteer health care workers working on 2 week slots, I've got family and friends currently working in the NHS in varying roles. One of which works in a vaccine distribution centre in the Midlands and explained that their system is based around working in a single ward/area for a 2 week period. This is to stop excessive movement between wards.
As for the next batch of vaccines being larger than this one, that is admittedly only an assumption. But I think a sensible one. As more vaccines are approved, as production increases, etc, more will become available. Plus distribution lines have been established and capacity will have increased.
As I said I don't know the full discussions that have been had or ideas that have been proposed but the idea that Drakeford has just woken up this morning and decided this on a whim is ludicrous.
I am by no means an expert in any of the aspects of this vaccine role out but even I can quite easily think of some scenarios were this would be a necessary strategy:
Vaccinate 110k people this week, vaccination staff are told the next shipment doesn't arrive for 2 weeks, instead of being unemployed for 2 weeks they take up other jobs, suddenly it turns out the next shipment is a few days early but there's a reduced workforce to administer it so you have to throw away jabs that have gone off (I think this timeframe is ~3 days from opening the 1000 jab batch).
A trucker company cocks up the new paper work leaving the EU/entering the UK, suddenly all 110k people waiting for their second jab miss it and have essentially wasted jab 1, spreading out the jabs mean maybe only 25k miss the deadline for jab 2.
Similar scenario as previous. Vaccinate 110k people this week, 11 weeks time a truck bound for Wales skids off a road and crashes destroying 10's of thousands of doses, if 110k people are all at the 12 week deadline you need to redistribute jabs from first timers to deal with the reduced supply. If only 25k are at the deadline you have time to divert extra vaccines to replace the lost ones.
I totally agree that the communication of this has been awful but I will accept that much more knowledgeable people than I or anyone on this board will have evaluated every possibility to the extreme and if this is the outcome I accept that decision.
Are you some sort of lunatic?? Let’s not vaccinate as many people as possible in case a lorry carrying the vaccine crashes!!!
A massive oversimplification of my post. Much smarter people than me and people much more knowledgeable in this subject have come together and decided the most viable strategy is this one. I’m merely guessing what some uncontrollable variables might be that have led them to this decision. I could be completely wrong but no doubt there are contingency plans in place in the event that such unforeseen circumstances could occur. Admittedly maybe a truck crashing is too dramatic but there are numerous ways the supply chain and distribution could be affected.
To that one has to ask - why are we different to England, Northern Ireland and Scotland? If our policy is so good why are we the only ones doing it?
Presumably it is public health advising on this so why are the Welsh public health, with access to the same information as the others, taking this line in direct opposition to everyone else. Why is Mark Drakeford saying this is not a race? It takes approximately 21 days to develop an immune response to the vaccine. The sooner people have it the sooner we can get them up to speed with Anti bodies and T Cells.
Perhaps our distribution abilities were underestimated so if we continued at our pace we’d run out much earlier than predicted and before our next shipment?
Maybe the other nations’ next batch arrive sooner than ours?
A larger proportion of our vaccination workforce are volunteers, hence the concern they might then volunteer for other wards/jobs?
All the above is pure speculation but no doubt there are reasons. Some seem to have the idea that Drakeford just woke up and decided on this strategy without any consultation or discussion, which is plainly ridiculous.
Tue Jan 19, 2021 12:56 am
welshrarebit wrote:I wont quote as it keeps adding more and more text. I do not think drakeford woke up and thought that. Bit I do believe he is misguided and also stubborn.
As I said., We need only wait a few more days. We only have capacity for a certain amount of pfizer vaccines at each vaccine centre. The likelihood of us running out is slim and even if we did, well it is unlikely to be long before receiving the next batch. if we only have X numbers of vaccine, what difference does is make if X people are vaccinated in 5 days or 15 when considering supply? But it can make a massive difference for immunity and or disease modification. I was meant to have my second dose by now. I am one of thousands delayed due to the change in advice. The theory being they could give it to more people. But it doesnt appear that is what they are doing.
Tue Jan 19, 2021 1:17 am
Tue Jan 19, 2021 1:21 am
pembroke allan wrote:welshrarebit wrote:I wont quote as it keeps adding more and more text. I do not think drakeford woke up and thought that. Bit I do believe he is misguided and also stubborn.
As I said., We need only wait a few more days. We only have capacity for a certain amount of pfizer vaccines at each vaccine centre. The likelihood of us running out is slim and even if we did, well it is unlikely to be long before receiving the next batch. if we only have X numbers of vaccine, what difference does is make if X people are vaccinated in 5 days or 15 when considering supply? But it can make a massive difference for immunity and or disease modification. I was meant to have my second dose by now. I am one of thousands delayed due to the change in advice. The theory being they could give it to more people. But it doesnt appear that is what they are doing.
What doesn't appear to be facted into this is people like you and me who have had Pfizer vaccine need to have it within 12wks! now if it's been slowed down and there is a problem with delivery of vaccine he's referring to WG may have a problem for future vaccinations as got to prioritise 1st dose people 1st.. can envisage chaos if nit careful.
Tue Jan 19, 2021 1:59 am
ReesWestonSuperMare wrote:pembroke allan wrote:welshrarebit wrote:I wont quote as it keeps adding more and more text. I do not think drakeford woke up and thought that. Bit I do believe he is misguided and also stubborn.
As I said., We need only wait a few more days. We only have capacity for a certain amount of pfizer vaccines at each vaccine centre. The likelihood of us running out is slim and even if we did, well it is unlikely to be long before receiving the next batch. if we only have X numbers of vaccine, what difference does is make if X people are vaccinated in 5 days or 15 when considering supply? But it can make a massive difference for immunity and or disease modification. I was meant to have my second dose by now. I am one of thousands delayed due to the change in advice. The theory being they could give it to more people. But it doesnt appear that is what they are doing.
What doesn't appear to be facted into this is people like you and me who have had Pfizer vaccine need to have it within 12wks! now if it's been slowed down and there is a problem with delivery of vaccine he's referring to WG may have a problem for future vaccinations as got to prioritise 1st dose people 1st.. can envisage chaos if nit careful.
Welsh Health Service ( devolved power) doesnt have the infrastructure for the Pfizer vax at -70C , so they are holding out for the AZ vax , which is why they are restricting the pfizer vax.
remember in May this year - you can vote them OUT